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Mitt Romney's team did primary math, and knew campaign was lost cause
DAILY NEWS ^ | Friday, February 8th 2008 | CELESTE KATZ and DAVID SALTONSTALL

Posted on 02/08/2008 2:30:32 AM PST by indcons

Mitt Romney didn't become a multimillionaire by ignoring numbers, and he wasn't ignoring them Thursday when he officially scrapped his bid for the presidency.

The odds were simply too steep for the former Massachusetts governor, especially after his weak showing in Tuesday's round of coast-to-coast primaries.

"I've known him for 14 years, [and] he's always been a realist, and he just looked at it," said Massachusetts Republican Party Chairman Peter Torkildsen.

In dropping out in the name of party unity, Romney built himself some goodwill within the GOP and maybe even positioned himself for a run in 2012.

But the former governor will start at a deficit in the congeniality department - he was privately loathed by his rivals this year, largely because of his tough ads and seemingly endless stream of personal cash.

If he does run again, experts said, he'll likely face all the same suspicions that doomed him this time: that he is a flip-flopper on abortion and other key issues, and that he's always been more of a chameleon than a conservative.

"You get only one chance in life to make a first impression," said Dennis Goldford, a professor of politics at Drake University in Iowa. "And the question with Romney will always be - which Mitt is showing up?"

This year, Romney first cast himself as the race's true conservative. When that didn't work, he retooled himself as the race's establishment Republican, only to repitch himself later as a Washington outsider. Finally, when the economy slipped, he emphasized his business background.

None of it really worked.

The die was cast Wednesday in Boston, when Romney's brain trust presented him a long shot scenario for victory that would have required winning Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, Indiana and North Carolina - and by significant majorities.

That scenario, Romney was told, would require millions more in cash, dozens more staffers and serious ad buys, especially in the large states.

"It was doable," said one source. "But there was no margin for error."


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections08; mccain; romney
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1 posted on 02/08/2008 2:30:36 AM PST by indcons
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To: indcons

Who is actually voting for McAmnesty? Rats crossing over? Mexicans who just got their papers? Who actually likes him?


3 posted on 02/08/2008 2:41:35 AM PST by Mark was here (The earth is bipolar.)
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To: Post5203

I was just watching the news here in Japan ...I must admit I have been getting ALL my primary news via FR ...and hadn’t seen Romney or McCain on tv until now ...And they called my man REAGAN the actor !!??...Romney and McCain are phoney baloneys ...I can see right through them ...Perhaps one must get away from the USA for a time to see through the BS , as you get bombarded with it on a daily basis ...Nobody is REAL ...


4 posted on 02/08/2008 2:45:46 AM PST by sushiman
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To: Mark was here
Who is actually voting for McAmnesty? Rats crossing over? Mexicans who just got their papers? Who actually likes him?

In the Florida primary, against primary rules, independents were permitted to vote using republican ballots. They estimated abnout %17-18 of the vote in favor of McCain was "non-republican". That made more than the difference to put him over the top.

5 posted on 02/08/2008 2:48:00 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Mark was here
Who is actually voting for McAmnesty? ...

I believe it is Rats who have not had a choice of strong military and social programs such as Johnson, Kennedy, Truman.

They have had to put up with Kerry, Reid, Pelosi, Hillary, Obama, Edwards, Gore

6 posted on 02/08/2008 2:48:09 AM PST by Hang'emAll (WE WILL NOT DISARM!!!)
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To: Mark was here
Who is actually voting for McAmnesty? Rats crossing over? Mexicans who just got their papers? Who actually likes him?

I think the election is rigged.

John McCain Gets Soros Cash - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1360852/posts



7 posted on 02/08/2008 2:48:41 AM PST by Sir Francis Dashwood (LET'S ROLL!)
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To: Post5203
And yet, even with “no money”, the huckster stays in the game.

If you want to call having far fewer electoral votes than the guy who just quit because he didn't have enough being "in the game".

8 posted on 02/08/2008 3:04:13 AM PST by Darkwolf377 (Six SCOTUS justices will be 70 or older in January of next year.)
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To: Mark was here
Who likes McCain? People who don’t see immigration as the number one issue. People who see the war in Iraq and against terrorism as the number one issue. People who are deathly afraid of Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama in the White House and are willing to pick the Republican who stands out the most from Bush like McCain.

Right now, the Dems want to run against W, not McCain. If Romney or Huckabee are the nominee, they would make this election a referendum on W. With McCain, they have to change their tack, and McCain’s experience in foreign affairs and Washington policy will leave Obama’s inexperience and Hillary’s sleazy connections in the dust.

Not everyone thinks immigration is the greatest issue.

9 posted on 02/08/2008 3:45:00 AM PST by GAB-1955 (Kicking and Screaming into the Kingdom of Heaven!)
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To: Post5203

And yet, even with “no money”, the huckster stays in the game.

Well the Americans picked a dope from Hope already so why would you think they wouldn’t again. Two dopes from Hope would be a record I suppose.


10 posted on 02/08/2008 3:52:48 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: GAB-1955

Sorry. Either the Hildabeast OR Obama are going to absolutely SLAUGHTER McInsane in the general.

50 state sweep for the Dems, PLUS both houses of Congress. It is NOT going to be pretty for our side with McInsane as our candidate..

Ugh. WHEN will the Country Clubbers realize that the VAST majority of (R)s don’t think like they do?

THAT is what happens when you nominate a liberal for POTUS.


11 posted on 02/08/2008 3:55:38 AM PST by jstolzen (All it takes for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing - Edmund Burke)
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To: indcons

Huckabee can’t add as well.


12 posted on 02/08/2008 3:57:11 AM PST by Brilliant
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To: jstolzen
50 state sweep for the Dems, PLUS both houses of Congress.

Sorry but those RATS are not going to win my state, nor a lot of others.

They already have Congress, thanks to all the Pubbies who stayed home in 06.

13 posted on 02/08/2008 5:25:08 AM PST by freespirited (The worst Republican is far preferable to the best Democrat.)
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To: jstolzen

“50 state sweep...both houses...yada,yada,yada...”

And the Patriots were going to kill the NYGiants.

Shouldn’t we play the game first?


14 posted on 02/08/2008 5:33:08 AM PST by Former War Criminal
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To: indcons

Huckabee’s team = not so good at math?

Honestly, I don’t know why he’s staying. He has no one significant issue, or cluster of issues, that he represents. With Paul, it’s plain and simple: he has “causes,” sane and insane, that only he represents the way he represents them.

But Huckabee? No clue.

Except the issue of himself.


15 posted on 02/08/2008 5:34:52 AM PST by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
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To: napscoordinator

WHAT MITT needs to do now is spend the next four years championing all those causes that caused him to be called a flip flopper this time.......I.E. undo what he formerly did THAT CAUSED HIM SOO MUCH TROUBLE THIS TIME AROUND....so.....we’ll see you in 4 MITT....

till then its gonna be a bumpy ride to be sure...


16 posted on 02/08/2008 6:18:12 AM PST by flat
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To: indcons
But the former governor will start at a deficit in the congeniality department - he was privately loathed by his rivals this year, largely because of his tough ads and seemingly endless stream of personal cash.

I don't think these are the reasons. Those who have contact with Mitt Romney usually describe him as arrogant.

17 posted on 02/08/2008 6:44:00 AM PST by CommerceComet (Mitt Romney: Boldly telling the audience whatever it wants to hear.)
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To: Post5203

Math was never Huck’s strong suit.


18 posted on 02/08/2008 7:46:53 AM PST by SlapHappyPappy
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To: jstolzen
That’s not what the preliminary data say. McCain has a 50-50 chance against Hillary, but not Obama. We are going to lose three Senatorial seats. I don’t know about the House.

It’s a bad hand, but the best one we can play.

19 posted on 02/08/2008 4:47:13 PM PST by GAB-1955 (Kicking and Screaming into the Kingdom of Heaven!)
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To: Post5203

And yet, even with no chance of beating obama, mccain stays in the game.


20 posted on 02/08/2008 4:49:38 PM PST by Vision Thing
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