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Delegate Math Looks Bad For Democrats
Captain's Quarters ^ | Feb. 07, 2008 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 02/07/2008 7:23:22 AM PST by jdm

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1 posted on 02/07/2008 7:23:26 AM PST by jdm
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To: jdm

More popcorn, please.


2 posted on 02/07/2008 7:25:54 AM PST by Cenobite (Can't spell unethical without the U.N.)
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To: jdm

Thanks for a ray of hope!

Will this year be a contest to determine which major party can self-destruct first? Time will tell.


3 posted on 02/07/2008 7:27:21 AM PST by cvq3842
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To: jdm
Naw, both parties are doomed to brokered conventions just like the old days.

If McCain somehow manages to get a majority of the delegates, the odds of his dying before the convention are 30 times that of someone else his same age who was not held as a POW by primitive savages for 7 years.

Which means, when you are 71, your chance of dying is pretty good, and for ex-POWs, their chance of dying any time soon is incredibly great.

The Dems will go into a convention with the Great Black Hope and the Hildabeast ~ they've gotta' come outta' there with someone who can attract Republican voters.

The Republicans will go into a convention with a dead delegate leader and a couple of guys whose "religiously affiliated" followers would rather duke it out than cooperate in a campaign.

Could be a lot of fun.

4 posted on 02/07/2008 7:28:24 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: Cenobite
Coming right up...

5 posted on 02/07/2008 7:30:44 AM PST by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: cvq3842
Will this year be a contest to determine which major party can self-destruct first? Time will tell.

It'll be the GOP. Clinton and Obama will run together and much excitement will ensue. We've torn each other to shreds. What can McCain possibly do at this point? They are split in two. We are split in 3...4...5?

6 posted on 02/07/2008 7:30:57 AM PST by rhombus
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To: jdm

Thanks for posting. BTTT.


7 posted on 02/07/2008 7:32:02 AM PST by PGalt
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To: muawiyah

Uh... I think we need a Plan B, just in case McCain lives. ;-)


8 posted on 02/07/2008 7:32:13 AM PST by rhombus
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To: Izzy Dunne

LOL!


9 posted on 02/07/2008 7:32:42 AM PST by PGalt
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To: jdm
Democrats will have to either broker a deal between Hillary and Obama to avoid a floor fight

So, will Hillary announce O'bama as VP choice next week?

That might take some air out of his sails.

10 posted on 02/07/2008 7:32:54 AM PST by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: jdm
The present system was designed to prevent the nominee from being selected by party hacks.

And thus we see the end of the Democrat side of the current nomination charade. On the Democrat side, it looks like it will end up being decided by ... party hacks.

The decidedly odd course of the Republican primaries has shown the weakness on our side.... And now we're all hoping that the nomination will be decided by party hacks.

11 posted on 02/07/2008 7:33:07 AM PST by r9etb
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To: jdm
Looks as though the superdelegates are biting the Dems in the butt.

The people may choose Obama, but the superdelegates could give Hil the nomination anyway.

Isn’t that democracy!

12 posted on 02/07/2008 7:34:18 AM PST by Republic If You Can Keep It
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To: jdm

Not good for Obama. The KKKlintons had more than 8 years to become familiar with and control the party machinery. Obama is a newcomer and not as well plugged into the DNC Crime family. Obama’s position is like that of the Joe Pesci character in Goodfellas. Just when he thinks he’s in, he’s OUT.


13 posted on 02/07/2008 7:34:50 AM PST by Hacklehead (Crush the liberals, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentation of the hippies.)
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To: jdm
I forgot who it was.

But someone (talk show host, conservative writer) has noted, that given this scenario, if this is not settled amicably things could get ugly. Their prediction was Minnesota would be a repeat of 68' for the Dem's. If the Obama camp is not satisfied, and the super delegates throw it to Hilda, all heck could break loose. We feel disenfranchised with McCain? How many Obama supporters stay home if he doesn't get the big prize or even VP.

14 posted on 02/07/2008 7:35:21 AM PST by taildragger (The Answer is Fred Thompson, I do not care what the question is.....)
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To: jdm

This is all very entertaining. You have Hillary having her end game strategy being telling Obama to sit in the back of the bus and that his turn to sit in the front will come later, maybe. You have most all the black people at the convention hating Hillary as much as we do here at FR. You have the super delegates trying to see whether allegiance to Hillary or getting a piece of Obama’s youth appeal is more important and the outrage over these delegates negating either the votes of Obama’s supporters or Hillary’s. You have Hillary wanting to have her MI and FL delegates and the Obama supporters threatening to walk out of the convention if those FL and MI delegates are allowed. This is an awesome reality TV show.


15 posted on 02/07/2008 7:36:03 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: rhombus
He's 71 "Jim" ~ he's a former POW ~ comparably situated POWs from former conflicts have demonstrated the higher death rate.

Even if elected it's exceedingly probable McCain wouldn't get as far as Benjamin Harrison ~

16 posted on 02/07/2008 7:36:12 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: Republic If You Can Keep It

This will be their personal Florida 2000’ all over again without the hanging chads... Ouch....


17 posted on 02/07/2008 7:37:20 AM PST by taildragger (The Answer is Fred Thompson, I do not care what the question is.....)
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To: jdm
If Hillary wins in elected delegates, she will easily get more than half of the superdelegates and win the nomination.

The real question is how big of win by Obama in elected delegates could Hillary overcome with superdelegates. I don't think that all approximately 800 superdelegates would vote for her to give her a 1 vote win if she was 800 behind going into the convention. Could she count on a 600-200 split to overcome a 400 delegate margin in elected ones? Only 500-300?

Add on top of that the phantom wins in Florida and Michigan which now have zero delegates because of their early primaries. Will Hillary supporters demand to seat all 367 of their delegates, even though the other candidates followed party rules and didn't contest their primaries?

18 posted on 02/07/2008 7:37:29 AM PST by KarlInOhio (Rattenschadenfreude: joy at a Democrat's pain, especially Hillary's pain caused by Obama.)
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To: rhombus
Clinton and Obama will run together and much excitement will ensue.

The point of this article is that both Obama and Hillary will likely have a valid claim on the top of the ticket and the person who is demoted to VP is going to be enraged.

19 posted on 02/07/2008 7:38:06 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: jdm
Can we just go the next four years without a President please?
20 posted on 02/07/2008 7:38:29 AM PST by elizabetty (Mike Huckabee for President of the Confederate States of America -- Bad for the UNION)
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