Posted on 02/04/2008 4:03:39 PM PST by Checkers
Many in the media have decamped to sunny California, and for good reason: The state not only provides the biggest targets to campaigns on both sides looking to score their share of the hundreds of delegates available tomorrow, it also allows reporters to stay up late as results roll in. Going to bed at 1 a.m. after the rest of the country has reported is a lot easier than going to bed at 4 a.m.
For at least one candidate, though, California will not be the story. John McCain, once an afterthought, then the front-runner, is seeing his poll numbers in the Golden State sink again. After enjoying leads as high as 19 points, just days after his New Hampshire win, and 13 points, in a CNN/Politico/LA Times poll last week, McCain now owns just a 2-point lead in the latest RCP California Average.
The news may be worse than that. A tracking poll for C-SPAN and Reuters, taken by Zogby, shows distinct movement toward McCain's chief opponent in California, Mitt Romney. After taking the lead yesterday, Romney is now up by eight points. A victory by such a small margin would only give Romney a few extra delegates -- the state allocates most of their Republican delegates in a winner-take-all by Congressional District fashion.
In anticipation of such a result, McCain's team has started downplaying expectations and California's relative importance. "We're going to do very well in the winner-take-all states in the Northeast," spokesman Brian Rogers told Politics Nation today. "California is a toss-up that, at the end of the day, won't be the big story [as long as] we pick up some delegates."
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
“If it bleeds, we can kill it...”
Thanks for the link. Much more accurate map than the Red/Blue state one.
A McAmnesty nomination is a repudiation of Reagan principles for many of us. It as an action is the Republican party not so politely telling conservatives to “hit the bricks.”
Alright Jesse, now put the big gun down ‘fore some alien jerkwad shoots ya in the chest with a ray gun.
(great movie)
LOL! That photo really brings out the deranged side of mccandycain.
The truth is that McCain will be beaten in November instead of now if Republicans don't come to their senses soon.
I heard Mitt on Hannity today and HE wasn't downplaying any expectations. Mitt plans to do very well tomorrow.
“McCain now owns just a 2-point lead in the latest RCP California AVERAGE”
The polls that are averages and weighted are only useful up until about 4 days out. After that it is the most recent polling which is important, which shows the intensity of active voters - and which way they are breaking.
They are breaking to Romney as the Zogby shows.
Sorry about that duplicate. I meant to post the new one with ‘Tuesday at Burnie’s Anyone?”
But of course, it's Kennedy country.
I wonder if that has to do with the fact that McCain is at the CFR caps.
He can’t spend more money.
One of those unreported MSM viability stories.
Not a problem, it just gives us more of a chance to see such a hillarious pic of johnymac.
Is that guy in the back peeing on the flag?
LOL, no comment...
I think this is why Mccain pulled the pr stunt of going to Mass.
This is because he does not have the money to go forward.
I just heard one of Juan McCain’s radio ads.in San Diego...he says he got the message no amnesty till the borders are secured then let them pay a fine and no jumping in line. LOL he must think we are fools its the same amnesty, just “secure the borders first”...
I got a recorded call from that Lost in Translation girl for Obama today. Ugh.
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