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To: exit82
McCain as a candidate will be a disaster. The Republican establishment knows this. But they don't care, because the goal is not to win this election. It is to remove us from the political table, and for them to join with their Democrat brothers in the march toward an America subsevient to global interests. Sovereignty is treated as a quaint, outmoded concept, even by many Republican governors who are pushing the globaloney nonsense that will cripple this nation.

We will see. I think Hillary knows this, Obama doesn't know this (yet) and both will be obvious, out of the closet One Worlders. I think McCain is a literal Manchurian Candidate, (what happened in the Hanoi Hilton?) ushered into office as an insurance policy if the Puppetmasters underestimated the percentage of independents/conservatives left in the country. Either way, they win.

79 posted on 02/02/2008 4:22:39 PM PST by Captainpaintball
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To: Captainpaintball

Thursday, January 31, 2008 8:10 PM

By: Dick Morris and Eileen McGann Article Font Size

Hillary Clinton speaks Thursday night during the Democratic presidential debate in California, a state where her political fortunes are falling.

Stop the presses! The very latest polling data from California indicate a sharp trend for Obama and against Hillary. Preliminary indications in other states are that the trend is very widespread and not just concentrated on the west coast.

Pollster Scott Rasmussen’s three day tracking survey, conducted on January 28-30, shows Hillary with a bare and dwindling 3 point lead over Obama in California. He has Hillary at 43%, Obama at 40%, and Edwards (two of the three days were before he dropped out) at 9%. This data compares with a 20 point plus Hillary margin in most polls in California just a few weeks ago.

Other polls have Obama winning Georgia (O-52 H-36) and Alabama (O-40 H-35) with their sizable minority populations, but also very close in Massachusetts, trailing there by only H-43 O-37 and in Montana by only H-40 O-33. National polls also indicate a sharp closing of the race. Gallup has Hillary just six ahead and Rasmussen’s national data is even closer.

Edwards’ withdrawal will help Obama in all likelihood and, with these poll numbers, he is more likely to endorse Obama.

Of course, a lot will hinge on how well each candidate does in tonight’s Democratic debate.

But there could be a wrinkle. In most states, most of the delegates are awarded by Congressional District and the candidate with the most votes wins all the delegates from that district. Even if Obama were to carry California by, say 53-47, he might win the black districts by 80-20 and lose most or all of the white districts, giving Hillary the vast bulk of the delegates. Obama would have to get his margin of victory up to 8-10 points to be sure of sweeping the delegates in a given state.

Yet, when all is said and done, the trend lines for Obama are unbelievably positive just a few days before Super Tuesday.

The McCain nomination looks like a done deal. He is beating Romney in all five states with recent polls, winning California by 32-28, Illinois by 34-26, Georgia by 35-24, and Tennessee by 33-25. Huckabee is in second place in Tennessee with Romney running last.

© 2008 Dick Morris & Eileen McGann


85 posted on 02/02/2008 4:50:01 PM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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