Brokered convention. |
Posted on 01/29/2008 10:47:31 PM PST by Red Steel
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) -- After Florida Republicans make their presidential views known, the next Republican battleground plays out over the nearly two dozen states participating in Super Tuesday. A look at the current polls indicates John McCain is in the best shape in most of the states followed by Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney.
Naturally, McCain fares best in his home state of Arizona where surveys show him with about 40 percent of the Republican vote and Romney at about 20 percent.
California voters side with McCain giving him a 31-23 percent advantage over Romney and Giuliani and Huckabee are at 11 percent each. Illinois Republicans favor McCain 31 to 20 percent over Romney with Huckabee and Giuliani in low double digits.
McCain also leads in the northeast, despite the presence of both Romney and Giuliani in their stomping grounds. He leads Giuliani 39 to 16 in Connecticut, is ahead 29 to 26 percent in New Jersey, and even leads in New York by a 32-22 percentage point margin.
The senator has a 37 to 28 percent lead over Huckabee in Oklahoma while Romney draws the support of 18 percent there.
Romney holds a lead in Colorado, a heavily Mormon state that rewards him with 43 percent of the GOP support there. McCain has 24 percent and Huckabee 17 percent. As expected, he also leads in his home state of Massachusetts with a 50 to 29 percent lead over McCain.
Mike Huckabee fares best in the southern states near Arkansas, where he is a former governor,
In Alabama, he is tied at 27 percent with McCain while Romney pulls in the support of 15 percent. George Republicans favor Huckabee by 34 to 19 percent over McCain.
Huckabee and McCain are tied in Missouri, where the leading pro-life group recently issued an endorsement for Huckabee, and the former governor leads in Tennessee, where pro-life groups have endorsed him following the departure of Fred Thompson.
Minnesota, Delaware, Montana, North Dakota, Utah, Arkansas, Alaska, and West Virginia also vote in Super Tuesday. Romney is expected to win easily in Utah and Huckabee will likely capture Arkansas.
With a close race, some political observers are looking at the delegate totals with the potential that the battle for the Republican nomination could go all the way to Minneapolis this summer. Mitt Romney currently leads with 59 delegates, Huckabee has 40, McCain 36, Ron Paul 4, and Giuliani 1.
On Super Tuesday, most of the states award delegates based on a proportion of the votes in the primary or caucus.
Those that award delegates on a winner-take all basis include Missouri, (a tossup between McCain and Huckabee), as well as Arizona, New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut -- all states where McCain is currently leading. Utah and Montana do as well, which would favor Romney, and Delaware, a sate where McCain is likely leading.
Because the southern states give out delegates on a proportional basis, Huckabee’s ability to add to his delegate totals is weakened. Should the campaign go to a brokered convention, however, Huckabee may have earned enough delegates to play a role in deciding the eventual nominee should no one win enough outright.
Republican voters in Maine head to the polls on February 1 in a race that has garnered little in the way of national attention.
Following the Super Tuesday vote, Republicans in Kansas, Louisiana and Washington head to the polls, and then GOP voters in Virginia, Maryland and Wisconsin. The rest of the states do not cast primary ballots until March or later.
A McCain verses Hillary ticket is screaming for a viable third party candidate.
The Bull Moose party?
Remember Teddy Roosevelt?
I will write in Bullwinkle and leave the Republican party if it is McCain.
If in the end its McCain.........I'll write in John Galt and vote the rest of the ticket, for the first time I honestly feel party-less.
I know I didn't change......shrug
I think the election was rigged by the RNC hacks in D.C.
| Brokered convention. |
Huckabee is taking votes from Romney and giving the nomination to the treacherous, backstabbing old coot.
Huck might be a nice man, and even a Christian brother, but he’s an IDIOT.
He hasn’t got a CHANCE to win the nomination, not a CHANCE, but he continues to do damage to Romney, who is the only one who can stop McCain and whatever else the Donkeys throw at us in the general election.
What an idiot.
Watts would be a great choice.
Don’t you mean...”how about those Tigers”...?
When this is all said and done, before Dubya leaves, his last pardon will be a massive one.
He'll issue a executive amnesty order.
Then with a wink and a nod he'll hop on marine 1 for the last time and fly off, in the end he will have "Seen us at the signing"
Whoever the new president is will have cover and they ( illegals ) will party in the streets 20 Jan 09....I am convinced this is the plan.
The Huckster wants to be VP...what he is doing makes perfect sense if you keep that in mind.
Oh no! Someone leaked the secret codebook.
Here in Oklahoma, I am still debating who I’ll vote for. It’s a process of elimination, but I don’t like or trust McCain. I have never met anyone who does.
Giuliani voters will flock to McCain. Huckabee voters will split. The race is over. Congrats to McCain.
Don’t screw it up.
Huckabee should promise to do the FedGov budget what he did to his gut - but he would never do it.
You are absolutely right but missing an essential point: Huck wants to be McCain’s VP. As long as Huck stays in the race, Romney doesn’t have a prayer of assembling a majority of delegates.
Huck has been McCain’s pimp since Iowa.
McCain can’t get a majority of Republicans in Arizona, but he’s going to sweep the nation as the “only” electable Republican? Hokay.
Yes, in all likelihood Mitt will shut it down and be a good soldier.... if McCain wins the general, so be it. If McCain loses the general, which is probable (especially if Obama gets the nomination), then Mitt is well-positioned for another run in 2012 against a Democratic incumbent.
I think McCain could beat Hillary but he’s a certain loser against Obama. The GOP apparatus had better hope that if McCain is our guy that he goes up against Hillary, because Obama would be a truly serious danger to the nation.
If there are some open RAT primaries in the coming weeks, we had best cross over and vote for Hillary.
I think Florida’s vote has shown us how much to the left the Republican party has come.
The amazing thing here is that McCain will be the oldest nominee (if that happens) in history plus he is in very poor health. We want a nominee like that???
If Obama gets it, McCain has no chance. I’m so tired of hearing McCain say “my friends.” I wish that I could believe him. He has pissed off both Texas senators with his tactics in the Senate.
He is mean and selfish. But he does do his own thing, and can be an effective leader. And he has been 100% right on the war on terror.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.