Posted on 01/29/2008 10:47:31 PM PST by Red Steel
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) -- After Florida Republicans make their presidential views known, the next Republican battleground plays out over the nearly two dozen states participating in Super Tuesday. A look at the current polls indicates John McCain is in the best shape in most of the states followed by Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney.
Naturally, McCain fares best in his home state of Arizona where surveys show him with about 40 percent of the Republican vote and Romney at about 20 percent.
California voters side with McCain giving him a 31-23 percent advantage over Romney and Giuliani and Huckabee are at 11 percent each. Illinois Republicans favor McCain 31 to 20 percent over Romney with Huckabee and Giuliani in low double digits.
McCain also leads in the northeast, despite the presence of both Romney and Giuliani in their stomping grounds. He leads Giuliani 39 to 16 in Connecticut, is ahead 29 to 26 percent in New Jersey, and even leads in New York by a 32-22 percentage point margin.
The senator has a 37 to 28 percent lead over Huckabee in Oklahoma while Romney draws the support of 18 percent there.
Romney holds a lead in Colorado, a heavily Mormon state that rewards him with 43 percent of the GOP support there. McCain has 24 percent and Huckabee 17 percent. As expected, he also leads in his home state of Massachusetts with a 50 to 29 percent lead over McCain.
Mike Huckabee fares best in the southern states near Arkansas, where he is a former governor,
In Alabama, he is tied at 27 percent with McCain while Romney pulls in the support of 15 percent. George Republicans favor Huckabee by 34 to 19 percent over McCain.
Huckabee and McCain are tied in Missouri, where the leading pro-life group recently issued an endorsement for Huckabee, and the former governor leads in Tennessee, where pro-life groups have endorsed him following the departure of Fred Thompson.
Minnesota, Delaware, Montana, North Dakota, Utah, Arkansas, Alaska, and West Virginia also vote in Super Tuesday. Romney is expected to win easily in Utah and Huckabee will likely capture Arkansas.
With a close race, some political observers are looking at the delegate totals with the potential that the battle for the Republican nomination could go all the way to Minneapolis this summer. Mitt Romney currently leads with 59 delegates, Huckabee has 40, McCain 36, Ron Paul 4, and Giuliani 1.
On Super Tuesday, most of the states award delegates based on a proportion of the votes in the primary or caucus.
Those that award delegates on a winner-take all basis include Missouri, (a tossup between McCain and Huckabee), as well as Arizona, New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut -- all states where McCain is currently leading. Utah and Montana do as well, which would favor Romney, and Delaware, a sate where McCain is likely leading.
Because the southern states give out delegates on a proportional basis, Huckabee’s ability to add to his delegate totals is weakened. Should the campaign go to a brokered convention, however, Huckabee may have earned enough delegates to play a role in deciding the eventual nominee should no one win enough outright.
Republican voters in Maine head to the polls on February 1 in a race that has garnered little in the way of national attention.
Following the Super Tuesday vote, Republicans in Kansas, Louisiana and Washington head to the polls, and then GOP voters in Virginia, Maryland and Wisconsin. The rest of the states do not cast primary ballots until March or later.
1. McCain
2. Huckabee
3. Romney
With a very large gap between the three. Romney will drop out after Super Tuesday unless his personal self-aggrandizement tour forces him to grasp at as much of the media spotlight as possible.
McCain should win a majority of all delegates without too much trouble.
Sell crazy somewhere else, we’re all stocked up here.
Hate to rain on your parade, but the most likely result of a brokered convention is a McCain/Huckabee ticket. If McCain is short of a majority, Huckabee could have a couple hundred delegates to put him over the top. Huck is relatively young, and doesn’t have any other job at the moment. And win or lose, a VP slot would set him up to run again in the future.
The writer of this article didn’t do the research. Colorado is a heavily Mormon state?
If “heavily” means 2%, yes, Colorado is a “heavily” Mormon state. Otherwise, no chance.
To be honest, those platforms are a bunch of nonsense anyway. The dems get excited because their folks don’t adhere to their platform, and we get excited because ours don’t adhere to ours.
I.O.W., a vote for Huckabee is a vote for a McCain/Huckabee ticket.
KFI reported tonight the polls in California show that 40% said they could change their vote. McCain’s lead is very soft.
Just give the darn whitehouse the “her” so we can get the next 4 years over with and saddle the dems with the disaster that follows.
I hear ya. I wasn’t trying to put down your idea BTW. It was just an observation. Thanks for the additional comments.
If the platform has pro illegal language in it, wouldn’t that be the icing on the cake.
You mean lil ol Huck was lyin when he kept sayin Fred was only tryin to be tha vice paresident to Johnnie? I refuse to belief it.
You too...
Great. The Squirrel Fusion ticket. /sarc
California will dispense its GOP delegates by congressional district this year.
Kind of like Gerald Ford, the only U.S. President who was never elected.
McAmnesty is right. Sick.
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