Posted on 01/25/2008 6:51:51 AM PST by Tigen
John McCain and Mike Huckabee are tied for the lead in Alabamas Republican Presidential Primary. McCain and Huckabee each attract 27% support while Mitt Romney is a distant third at 15%. Rudy Giuliani is the choice for 8% while Ron Paul is supported by 3% and 20% are not sure.
Huckabee currently attracts support from 37% of Evangelical Christians likely to participate in the Primary while McCain leads among other Protestant voters with 32%.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
If he can’t beat McCain in SC and AL he will be out shortly.
No reason to drop. None of the other candidates has a majority.
Go no clear front runner!
Go brokered convention!
Discard the four jokers and draw a new hand.
Yup. Goodbye Mitt! Don't let the door hit you on the way out! Or do, I don't care...
I think Huckabee will stay on through at least Super Tuesday, in order to clinch enough delegates through the southern states in order to try to be a top VP contender on either McCain or Romney’s ticket.
Pulling out my crystal ball, I think what’s shaping up is that Huckabee will pick up some delegates in AL and GA and MS, but not enough to keep going, since none is winner take all and he’s out of money. He will throw his support to McCain in exchange for a Veep spot (they’ve been playing kissy face huggy bear for a while now) and they will likely have enough delegates to win the nomination, even though Romney will win more delegates outright than McCain. Then we have, God help us all, a McCain/Huckabee ticket to go up against Her Highness and probably Richardson as Veep to win New Mexico and the hispanic vote.
Better luck to the Republicans in 2012, because there is no way on God’s green earth that a ticket that weak wins against the Clinton/Dem machine. Not with Bush fatigue, an unpopular war and a weakening economy.
I like your thinking.
So, either McInsane or the Huckster are viable alternatives for you?
Growing up in New England I learned way too much about Romney to ever trust a word he says. I will never vote for that phony. And of course Rudy is a lib.
Romney’s weakness in the South is becoming evident.
South Carolina was an aberration.
He needs some help. An endorsement from a real Southern man.
Why? He doesn’t deserve it. He will stab conservatives in the back as fast or faster than mchukabee would.
Not a single candidate worthy of southern conservative support. And anyone that will endorse any of the remaining candidates has earned the scorn of “real southern men”.
It’s funny you say that because polls consistently show McCain as the only candidate who wins New Mexico. The reason McCain can and will win is because of all the candidates he can distinguish himself from Bush on an array of issues.
Polls this far out are absolutely meaningless. Six months ago Rudy was the invincible frontrunner in all of those polls. Now he’s fighting to stay alive, which is the same place McCain will be in six months.
The poll that matters is the one on this website where McCain only holds 1/3 of the Republican base. Even if half those saying “no” right now eventually hold their noses and vote for him, he still loses about 30% of the base. In a country split 50/50, there’s no way to make that up. The “Independents” (i.e, crossover Dems) who’ve gotten him this far will vote for Hillary when the time comes, bank on it. Don’t believe the hype that everybody hates her. The Republican base hates her, but plenty of moderates, independents and women will have no trouble voting for her along with the Democrat base, which is desperate for a win.
Without the conservative base, McCain loses. Supposedly he’s a frontrunner in Florida, if you believe the MSM, but I see more yard signs and bumperstickers for Hillary here along the I-4 corridor than for McCain. There are none, zero, nada, for McCain, and this is the “moderate” part of Florida, with RINOs and “independents” abounding. What should be McCain country, but apparently isn’t.
If the economy continues its downward trajectory, McCain won’t hold Ohio and I don’t see him holding my state, either. Without Florida and Ohio, there’s no route to the Presidency for McCain.
“I would also warn against getting too closely attached to a fleeting issue.”
Thanks ever so much for the warning, but I have about 1000 reasons why I’ll never vote for McCain, not Tuesday and not in November, starting with his attacks on my 1st and 2nd amendment rights and working all the way through his questionable personal history, temperament issues and the fact that he is unfit to hold the office he has, much less a higher one.
The electorate has proven time and again that when offered a choice between a Dem and a Dem with an “R” behind his name, they will go for the real thing every time, your prognostication ability notwithstanding.
Even if by some miracle McCain actually wins, then we have, God help us all, President McCain in office. No thank you. I won’t be responsible for that. I don’t want to hang my head in shame for four years while he pushes through still more legislation to take my rights away and sell my country down the river to the highest, or in the case of illegals, lowest bidders.
If McCain is even trying to win Florida, you’d never know it. No flyers, no polling, no calls, no yard signs, no bumperstickers, no TV ads. In fact, the lead story on Florida Radio News today was the fact that the Zogby poll has Mitt Romney up by 5. I’ve heard one McCain ad on the radio and that was today during an obscene profit center break on Rush’s show where he had just gotten done excoriating McCain’s liberal record. I had to laugh. Somehow I don’t think McCain got his money’s worth from that ad.
We disagree. Just have to leave it at that.
Rush has his eye on the wrong ball IMHO. He may well be successful in clearing a path for Romney - and let’s not kid ourselves - that’s what he’s doing. But if Romney loses to Hillary, it’s on his hands not mine.
McCain has been in DC for 25 years, and he’s got a reputation for an arrogant attitude, a crude mouth and an ugly temper. You don’t think he’s p*ssed off some people who are itching for payback? And then there are the questions from earlier in his life. Remember, as POTUS, Clinton had access to all classified information for 8 years, including the reams of data about POWs that McCain had sequestered at the Pentagon. Think about that a minute.
If McCain’s the nominee, I expect an October surprise to end all October surprises. No way the Clintons let him win. We nominate him at our own risk. At least Romney doesn’t have McCain’s negatives and has likely lived a much cleaner life. Less fodder for Dem dirty tricks, I’m sure. He’d have a fighting chance.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.