SurveyUSA Election Poll #13218(Florida early vote results McCain 31% Giuliani 25% Romney 19%)

Townhall.com ^ | January 24 2008 | SurveyUSA

[Berlin_Freeper]

Filtering / Early Voting: 2,050 Florida adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 01/20/08.

- Among those who have already voted, McCain has 31%, Giuliani has 25%, within the margin of sampling error for that sub-group.

[Berlin_Freeper]

McCain 31%
Giuliani 25%
Romney 19%
Huckabee 11%
Click the link on the page that reads: McCain is leading among those who voted early.

Or click here:

McCain is leading among those who voted early.

[angkor]

I do not for the life of me understand how any republican could vote for McCrazy. Does not compute.

[bill1952]

McCain is gaining traction here.
Many here have looked at Mitt’s history and see Socialist with an R.

[dawn53]

Sample size is 518 (that’s how many have voted early in this poll.) Hardly enough to really make any predictions.

[Greg F]

Go Guilianni! Win Florida, get us to a brokered convention! None of the above! None of the Above!

[1Old Pro]

Shouldn’t be terribly significant as related to total vote.

[Parley Baer]

That is somewhat in line from the polls from days ago. However the recent polls show a big shift to Romney. Then the question is there enough of a shift to overtake McQueeg. I sure hope so.

[Bookie1066]

Isn’t it wonderful that we will have two democrats running for president, Hilliary and McCain.

[Berlin_Freeper]

Maybe I don’t know. I just found it. I bookmarked it maybe it will update since it’s a few day old now too.

[gunservative]

I feel like puking.

McCain sucks just as bad as Hillary or Obama. The more I’ve read about Romney the more I hate him. Huckabee doesn’t interest me. When did the Republicans become the RINO party?

[Shryke]

I see one giant problem with the polling in Florida: most people I know who work hang up on the pollsters. I know two people personally that have hung up on multiple pollsters.

I suspect that they are actually capturing accurate numbers among retirees, who will waste the time to take a poll. Just my two cents.

[CharlesWayneCT]

Makes sense. McCain leads among the elderly, who are more likely to be certain of their vote and to vote when it is convenient for them to do so, by showing up early.

BTW, this poll and it’s results were posted a couple of days ago and discussed. This was from just after South Carolina. The OVERALL numbers were : McCain 25%, Rudolph Giuliani 20%, Mitt Romney 19%, Mike Huckabee 14%, Fred Thompson and Ron Paul at 7%

Also they early numbers are just a subset of the POLL, not actual votes. They have a MOE that is worse than the poll as a whole, because they have a smaller total population.

The early numbers are of course meaningless. The overall poll showed McCain ahead 6 of Romney, so if he’s ahead 12 in early votes, it means of those who haven’t voted he’s actually behind.

Which makes sense, because it means the people who haven’t voted were already moving toward Romney, while obviously the people who already voted are stuck with who they voted for.

[princess leah]

Rudy is the only one with the cahones to stand up to the media, to Hillary, and most of all to those Lousy Arab SOBs...

[Anti-Hillary]

I am leaning toward Mitt after FRed dropped out, but I would LOVE to see a brokered convention.

This election cycle is a MESS!

[CharlesWayneCT]

It actually IS the poll from days ago. So yes, it is in line with it. :-)

[bill1952]

You may be right, but Mitt is the last one that I would vote for. :)

[dawn53]

Florida results are going to be skewed. According to this article “thousands” have changed parties so that they can vote in a primary that will count...since the Dems aren’t seating any delegates. So you’ll have a lot of Dems voting in the Republican primary.

http://www2.tbo.com/content/2008/jan/05/me-thousands-of-voters-change-party-affiliation/

[JohnnyZ]

I do not for the life of me understand how any conservative could vote for McCain. Does not compute.
I do not for the life of me understand how any conservative could vote for Giuliani. Does not compute.
I do not for the life of me understand how any conservative could vote for Romney. Does not compute.
I do not for the life of me understand how any conservative could vote for Huckabee. Does not compute.
I do not for the life of me understand how any conservative could vote for Paul. Does not compute.

[Invincibly Ignorant]

Cool. You found a poll that says McCain is winning in Fla. Not many of those around. I wouldn’t support him with my buttsweat.

[Ron in Acreage]

McCain and Rudy are geeting the senior citizen votes early because they are not working and have nothing better to do. Younger people who work will be voting on election day when it matters. 500+ early votes means nothing.