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Analysis: Momentum shifts to Clinton
AP on Yahoo ^ | 1/20/08 | Beth Fouhy - ap

Posted on 01/20/2008 9:49:53 AM PST by NormsRevenge

FLORISSANT, Mo. - Political momentum now shifted her way, Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton flew to Missouri, a key Feb. 5 battleground state, while rival Barack Obama hoped to rejuvenate his candidacy with the help of black voters in the South.

"Now we're back here in the Midwest, where I'm from. I'm so happy to see all of you," Clinton, a Chicago native, said to cheers at a campaign rally late Saturday in this St. Louis suburb.

Nevada's presidential caucuses gave Clinton a big boost, powering her to a second straight win over Obama in the first Western contest of the 2008 calendar. She bested Obama among women, as she did in New Hampshire, and showed significant strength among Hispanic voters — an important and growing segment of the Democratic electorate in the mountain West and key states like California, Florida and New York.

But Obama won decisively among black voters, who could account for more than 50 percent of the voters in South Carolina's primary next Saturday. And Nevada's likely delegate count appeared to be almost evenly split between Clinton and Obama, indicating a protracted delegate battle yet to come.

Clinton acknowledged the excruciatingly tight race before departing Nevada, calling her win "one step on a long journey."

The Nevada results still spelled trouble for Obama, whose stunning victory in the Iowa caucuses Jan. 3 has begun to fade amid evidence of his vulnerability among important demographic groups, especially white, working-class Democrats and women.

He tried to remedy that problem in Nevada, holding economic roundtables with women voters and bringing in his popular wife, Michelle, to campaign with him. But women outnumbered men among caucus-goers, and a sizable majority went with Clinton.

Obama is now under greater pressure to win South Carolina, while Clinton is mostly hoping to hold her own there. Both campaigns are also looking ahead to "mega Tuesday" Feb. 5, when more than 20 states hold contests.

Polls in South Carolina have shown black voters shifting to Obama despite their longtime loyalty to the Clintons and particularly to Bill Clinton, who was once nicknamed the first black president.

With her Nevada win, campaign officials say she will campaign hard this week in South Carolina and hope for a strong enough showing to pick up sizable number of the state's delegates.

Former Democratic National Committee chairman Don Fowler, a South Carolinian who recently endorsed Clinton, said he was optimistic.

"I think she's doing very well," Fowler said. "I'm confident with the kind of campaign we're running next week we're going to win."

Clinton is scheduled to attend a prayer service in South Carolina Monday honoring Dr. Martin Luther King's birthday before attending an NAACP rally at the state capitol and a nationally televised debate in Myrtle Beach.

Ferrell Guillory, director of the Program on Southern Politics at the University of North Carolina, said the former first lady needs to compete hard in South Carolina in part to address lingering questions of electability.

"Part of her political challenge is to overcome, if she can, the sense that she is a polarizing figure in the country, particularly in the South," Guillory said.

Obama faces a different challenge in South Carolina.

While he is running to be the first black president, he rarely talks about race while pledging to unite people across the ideological and demographic spectrum. He needs to win South Carolina to restore co-frontrunner status without narrowcasting his appeal only to black voters.

If Obama does win South Carolina, both campaigns say they envision a grueling war of attrition for delegates that could potentially extend beyond mega Tuesday into early March.

Then there's the matter of how to prioritize time and resources for the far-flung states holding contests Feb. 5. With 441 delegates, the biggest prize that day is California, where Clinton made several stops last week.

The New York senator is expected to do well in her adopted home state and in her former home state of Arkansas. Both campaigns plan to contest New Jersey, while Obama should soundly win his home state of Illinois.

The map is murkier after that. Missouri is considered a toss-up, while caucuses in Minnesota, Kansas and Colorado present a huge organizational challenge for the candidates. Georgia, Tennessee and Alabama each have a large population of black voters and are expected to favor Obama, while Clinton hopes for a strong showing in Hispanic-heavy New Mexico and Arizona.


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections; War on Terror; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: analysis; billary; clinton; hillary; mo2008; momentum; nv2008; obama; shifts
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To: Old Sarge

21 posted on 01/20/2008 1:47:44 PM PST by traumer
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To: NormsRevenge

Snarls, smears and innuendo for Hillary Clinton as attack dogs get ready for the fray

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article2917646.ece


22 posted on 01/20/2008 1:48:17 PM PST by traumer
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To: NormsRevenge

while Obama should soundly win his home state of Illinois.

Isn’t that her hometown too? She grew up there as a Republican. Isn’t she a flip flopper too?


23 posted on 01/20/2008 1:56:21 PM PST by napscoordinator
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To: NormsRevenge


With her idiotic pointing.......
What a nightmare
This POS is going to be running America?

24 posted on 01/20/2008 2:00:45 PM PST by dennisw ( Huckabee should put down the huckabong)
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To: Old Sarge; 1000 silverlings
the Martin Bormann of the Hillary Campaign.

LOLOL. How can a President of the U.S. have as her close personal friend, confident, adviser and house-mate an agent of Saudi Arabia?

25 posted on 01/20/2008 2:04:57 PM PST by Dr. Eckleburg ("I don't think they want my respect; I think they want my submission." - Flemming Rose)
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To: tcrlaf; NormsRevenge; Old Sarge; 1000 silverlings; xzins
OBAMA gets more delegates in Nevada than Hillary, but it's being painted by the media as a HILLARY WIN...

Why aren't we talking about this? Why isn't this the lead at the A.P?

26 posted on 01/20/2008 2:08:54 PM PST by Dr. Eckleburg ("I don't think they want my respect; I think they want my submission." - Flemming Rose)
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To: traumer

Lower left pic of Huma.....this is beauty? I must be blind as I don’t see beauty.


27 posted on 01/20/2008 2:14:00 PM PST by BARLF
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To: Old Sarge

Scary as a quick glance in Hell!


28 posted on 01/20/2008 2:22:43 PM PST by MHGinTN (Believing they cannot be deceived, they cannot be convinced when they are deceived.)
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To: BARLF

Hillary Clinton’s top aide... goes with her everywhere. According to Vogue magazine, “fluent in Arabic, and a practicing Muslim born in Kalamazoo, MI, to a Pakistani mother and Indian father. Moved to Saudi Arabia when she was two…Her father is an Islamic scholar….”

http://www.nohillaryclinton.com/2007/07/26/hillary%E2%80%99s-mystery-woman-who-is-huma/


29 posted on 01/20/2008 2:26:14 PM PST by traumer
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To: PetroniusMaximus
Clinton/Obama

wont happen

30 posted on 01/20/2008 2:45:42 PM PST by stuck_in_new_orleans
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To: BARLF
Yes, that's the story.

I get tired of the media telling us how beautiful Huma is everytime they mention her.

31 posted on 01/20/2008 2:52:16 PM PST by BARLF
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To: stuck_in_new_orleans

Clinton/Richardson


32 posted on 01/20/2008 3:09:41 PM PST by The Ghost of Rudy McRomney ("I'm a proven leader. That's what the Des Moines Register said.")
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To: Dr. Eckleburg

I think I heard this on news radio this morning. Apparently, Hill won the popular vote and Obama won more delegates to the Dem Convention.

Personally, I was more curious why the Dems & Reps didn’t have a primary on the same day in SC???


33 posted on 01/20/2008 3:29:19 PM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain! True Supporters of Our Troops Support the Necessity of their Sacrifice!)
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To: Old Sarge
huma...like hillary herself, not quite humaN.
34 posted on 01/20/2008 3:52:07 PM PST by the invisib1e hand (if you can't stand the heat, get out of the melting pot.)
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To: NormsRevenge
Nevada's presidential caucuses gave Clinton a big boost,...But Obama won decisively among black voters... And Nevada's likely delegate count appeared to be almost evenly split between Clinton and Obama, indicating a protracted delegate battle yet to come.

Headlines spinning for Hitlery on all cylinders, even though Obambi got more delegates in NV.

35 posted on 01/20/2008 4:17:04 PM PST by rfp1234 (Phodopus campbelli: household ruler since July 2007.)
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To: Old Sarge; Grampa Dave; AdmSmith; Berosus; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; ...
Political momentum now shifted her way, Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton flew to Missouri, a key Feb. 5 battleground state, while rival Barack Obama hoped to rejuvenate his candidacy with the help of black voters in the South... Obama won decisively among black voters, who could account for more than 50 percent of the voters in South Carolina's primary next Saturday. And Nevada's likely delegate count appeared to be almost evenly split between Clinton and Obama, indicating a protracted delegate battle yet to come... The Nevada results still spelled trouble for Obama, whose stunning victory in the Iowa caucuses Jan. 3 has begun to fade amid evidence of his vulnerability among important demographic groups, especially white, working-class Democrats and women. He tried to remedy that problem in Nevada, holding economic roundtables with women voters and bringing in his popular wife, Michelle, to campaign with him. But women outnumbered men among caucus-goers, and a sizable majority went with Clinton.
The delegate splits aren't decisive, yet. Obama's main vulnerability is to the systemic vote fraud conducted on behalf of Clinton by the DNC and its shills. Thanks Old Sarge.

(see also)
36 posted on 01/20/2008 5:15:50 PM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__________________Profile updated Wednesday, January 16, 2008)
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To: devolve; Old Sarge; ntnychik; PhilDragoo; dixiechick2000
Thank you Sarge.


37 posted on 01/20/2008 6:03:34 PM PST by potlatch
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To: potlatch

.

Good post potlatch


38 posted on 01/20/2008 6:25:14 PM PST by devolve (---- - Hey Boone! - My bonus check is late again! -)
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To: devolve

Thank you devolve. I have just the small slideshow alone if you should ever want it.


39 posted on 01/20/2008 6:27:18 PM PST by potlatch
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To: Old Sarge

Who’s Huma Abedin?


40 posted on 01/20/2008 8:11:17 PM PST by sheik yerbouty ( Make America and the world a jihad free zone!)
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