Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

How Clinton Won
RealClearPolitics HorseRaceBlog ^ | January 08, 2008 | Jay Cost

Posted on 01/09/2008 3:12:58 AM PST by Aristotelian

Hillary Clinton won last night by putting together the voting coalition that has held Democratic frontrunners in good stead for 75 years. Take a look at these numbers - all of which come from CNN's cross-tabulated exit polls. What you'll see is that Hillary Clinton won many elements of the traditional FDR coalition.

-Self-identified Democrats made up 54% of the electorate. She won them, 45% to 34%. -She won voters without a college degree, 43% to 35%.

-She won voters with incomes less than $50,000, 47% to 32%.

-She won voters over the age of 65, 48% to 32%. She also won voters in their 40s (44% to 33%) and their 50s (39% to 30%).

-She won Catholics, 44% to 27%.

-She won urban voters, 43% to 35%. She won suburban voters, 42% to 31%.

-She won voters from union families, 40% to 31%.

-She won voters who said they have been "falling behind" economically, 43% to 33%.

-She won long-time voters, 38% to 33%.

Obama, on the other hand, had a very different electorate - one that has a bit in common with the insurgent candidacies of Gary Hart and Bill Bradley.

-He won Independents, 41% to 31%. -He won voters with at least a college degree, 39% to 34%.

-He won voters who make more than $50,000, 40% to 35%.

-He won college age voters, 60% to 22%. He split voters in their late 20s, 35% to 37%. He won voters in their 30s, 43% to 36%.

-He split Protestant voters, 36% to 36%.

(snip)

Clinton won by mobilizing the traditional Democratic coalition that is demographically inclined to her. You don't just win elections by persuading people you're the best candidate. You win elections by getting those people out to the polls.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; nh; numbers
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 121-128 next last
Interesting take on the election.
1 posted on 01/09/2008 3:12:58 AM PST by Aristotelian
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian

funny how every media outlet I have heard this morning used the term “comeback” - even including a clip from she herself using the same talking point.

lends credence to those who said that Iowa was part of her strategy of ‘come from behind’.


2 posted on 01/09/2008 3:17:02 AM PST by camle (keep an open mind and someone will fill it full of something for you)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian

Carville and Bagala.


3 posted on 01/09/2008 3:22:15 AM PST by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian
What a team NH produced. So will it be Hillry on top or will McCain demand that position?
4 posted on 01/09/2008 3:24:51 AM PST by Just mythoughts
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian
How Clinton Won


5 posted on 01/09/2008 3:25:23 AM PST by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian
"49 state sweep for the GOP?"

I'm really wondering how she's going to do in the south.

6 posted on 01/09/2008 3:26:37 AM PST by Thebaddog (You can be a big dog or a small dog, but I am the bad dog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian; camle
Four words : Same Day Voter Registration.

Over ten percent of all the people that voted in NH registered the same day they voted. They had a lot of nonresidents casting ballots.

7 posted on 01/09/2008 3:27:57 AM PST by Cyropaedia ("Virtue cannot separate itself from reality without becoming a principal of evil...".)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian

Well,Iowa and NH are liberal states with cross party voting and thus no longer predictive of national opinion as a whole.IA and NH only give the MSM opportunities to give “credence” to their ideologically preferences and agendas.
So Hillary better keep that onion in her purse just in case she needs to cry another win.


8 posted on 01/09/2008 3:28:36 AM PST by Happy Rain
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian

And they have this all broken down within hours after the polls closed... I call BS on all this “all knowing” stuff.


9 posted on 01/09/2008 3:28:51 AM PST by metesky ("Brethren, leave us go amongst them." Rev. Capt. Samuel Johnston Clayton - Ward Bond- The Searchers)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: camle

“Funny how every media outlet I have heard this morning used the term “comeback” - even including a clip from she herself using the same talking point.

lends credence to those who said that Iowa was part of her strategy of ‘come from behind’.”

That’s one big BEHIND!!


10 posted on 01/09/2008 3:30:00 AM PST by oiler (Reagan Republicans Unite!!!!! Draft Fred Thompson in 08')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: facedown

I am very curious to know if that is an actual picture that shows bus loads of people who intentionally illegally came to vote for her yesterday? Or was it just *a* picture of a lot of buses?


11 posted on 01/09/2008 3:30:28 AM PST by CometBaby (You can twist perceptions .. reality won't budge!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian

“-She won Catholics, 44% to 27%”

This, I simply cannot understand.


12 posted on 01/09/2008 3:32:15 AM PST by oiler (Reagan Republicans Unite!!!!! Draft Fred Thompson in 08')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cyropaedia

not surprised. where there’s aClinton, there’s fraud.


13 posted on 01/09/2008 3:33:31 AM PST by camle (keep an open mind and someone will fill it full of something for you)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: facedown

The outside influences, especially so close to NY and Mass are very suspect. I still have not seen the percentage of registered voters that cast a ballot. All this talk of running out of ballots and record turnout. I have not seen the pictures of huge throngs clamoring to vote either.


14 posted on 01/09/2008 3:34:07 AM PST by doodad
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: facedown

From the band wagon New York, I presume. I expected nothing less from the Clintonistas...


15 posted on 01/09/2008 3:34:52 AM PST by Virginia Ridgerunner (“We must not forget that there is a war on and our troops are in the thick of it!” --Duncan Hunter)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian
Self-identified Democrats made up 54% of the electorate.

A change for NH.

16 posted on 01/09/2008 3:35:38 AM PST by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Just mythoughts
> So will it be Hillary on top or will McCain demand that position?

Thanks EVER so much for that visual image.

Now I'll just go stab my eyes out to get rid of it...

17 posted on 01/09/2008 3:41:10 AM PST by dayglored (Listen, strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: facedown

".... I see .... so they bussed in people from out of state... yes, ... and then directed them to the precincts... alright... and then..."

18 posted on 01/09/2008 3:43:25 AM PST by Cyropaedia ("Virtue cannot separate itself from reality without becoming a principal of evil...".)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Aristotelian

NH is a gimmick vote state, now that the Mass-holes have taken over. The Mass-hole independents figured Obama was going to win, so calculated it was better to screw up the Republicans with their darling maverick instead of voting for Obama. Too cute by half.


19 posted on 01/09/2008 3:44:50 AM PST by Tarpon (Ignorance, the most expensive commodity produced by mankind.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: oiler

Me either.


20 posted on 01/09/2008 3:46:24 AM PST by Global2010 ( Happy New Year Ya'll)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 121-128 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson