Posted on 01/07/2008 3:29:17 PM PST by Richard Poe
| by Richard Lawrence Poe Monday, January 7, 2008 |
Permanent Link Past Columns |
FORGET IOWA. Forget New Hampshire. Forget the Democratic primaries altogether. The fix is in for Hillary Clinton. When Democrats convene this August in Denver, they will nominate Hillary as their candidate for President of the United States.
The day after Hillary’s loss in Iowa last Thursday, her campaign chief Terry McAuliffe told reporters, “Listen, Hillary is going to be the nominee. There’s no question.”
McAuliffe was not indulging in wishful thinking. He was stating a fact. He knows things the rest of us do not.
One thing McAuliffe knows is that Hillary controls a decisive majority of the Democratic Party superdelegates. The superdelegates control 42 percent of the votes needed to nominate Hillary. They may vote for whomever they wish, for any reason, and may change their minds at will. In August, they will nominate Hillary.
Democrats started the superdelegate system in 1984, to give party leaders tighter control over the nominating process.
This was partly in response to the catastrophic defeat of George McGovern, the radical, anti-war demagogue who, in 1972, lost every state in the union except Massachusetts to Richard Nixon.
To prevent such maverick candidates from winning the nomination in future, party leaders rigged the system. State delegates were no longer permitted to nominate presidential candidates on their own. Henceforth party-approved superdelegates would also cast votes.
Superdelegates are party stalwarts, Democrat officials whose loyalties favor party over state. Their number varies from one election to the next. Currently there are 852 superdelegates, including 29 state governors, 232 congressmen, 49 senators, two “shadow” or non-voting senators from the District of Columbia, and 540 Democratic Party leaders and officials of various sorts.
At this year’s Democratic Convention, 4,049 delegates will vote. Hillary must get 2,025 votes to win the nomination. This is the so-called "magic number". The 852 superdelegates total 42 percent of the magic number. In a close race, their votes could prove decisive.
At this writing, CNN reports that 257 superdelegates have already pledged their votes: of them, 154 (60 percent) have pledged for Hillary; 50 (19 percent) for Barack Obama; and 33 (13 percent) for John Edwards.
Should Hillary falter in the primaries, the superdelegates will likely come to her rescue and nominate her anyway.
The Web site 2008 Democratic Convention Watch offers updated lists of superdelegates who have and have not pledged their votes.
Of course, Hillary cannot win from superdelegate votes alone. She must get a sizeable number of state delegates as well. This presents no problem for Hillary. Her political machine is deeply entrenched in America’s urban centers. These crowded cities can overwhelm rural voters, bringing entire states into Hillary’s camp, with large numbers of delegates.
The decisive date will be February 5, dubbed Super Duper Tuesday by political pundits. Twenty-four states will hold their primaries that day.
"These states include some of our largest and most delegate-rich states, such as California, New York, Illinois, Georgia, New Jersey and others," notes Steven Hill, political reform director for the leftwing New America Foundation. "Together these two dozen states hold enough delegates to nearly decide the presidential nomination all by themselves."
Hillary is counting on that. As Steven Hill explains, "Having a single primary day with so many states... gives great advantage to those candidates with the most campaign cash and name recognition... It creates a virtual wealth primary in which new presidential faces will be quickly eliminated."
In any contest of wealth, Hillary has the advantage. Her blue-chip backers include the likes of Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild, wife of Sir Evelyn de Rothschild of the famed Rothschild banking dynasty.
“I'm always doing everything I possibly can for Hillary Clinton…”, Her Ladyship told Portfolio magazine. “I have been waiting for this since Bill Clinton left office, frankly.”
Married November 30, 2000, Lady de Rothschild spent her wedding night in the Clinton White House.
OpenSecrets.org reports that Hillary has raised $90.9 million, only slightly higher than Obama’s $80.3 million.
However, most of Hillary’s money is off the books. No one knows how many millions Hillary has laundered through George Soros’ “Shadow Party”, a network of Democrat front groups masquerading as non-partisan charities. These include Fund for America, the Democracy Alliance, America Votes and Media Matters for America, among others.
Republicans need to stop gloating over Hillary's every misstep and see the big picture. Hillary has the money, the machine, and the support of global financial elites. Unless we can muster a counterforce of similar strength, Hillary will win the nomination and the presidency.
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Richard Lawrence Poe is a contributing editor to Newsmax, an award-winning journalist and a New York Times bestselling author. His latest book is The Shadow Party: How George Soros, Hillary Clinton and Sixties Radicals Siezed Control of the Democratic Party, co-written with David Horowitz. |
It’s the long awaited DEMOCRAT CIVIL WAR between the Establishment DC Democrats and the no-longer-useful useful idiots of the “New Left” (aka. The NUTROOTS) who actually believed all the self-serving political BS they were fed for 7 years....
I hope Chicago is buying Water Cannons....
Bingo.
Thank you, Carry_Okie.
Political assassination under a "false flag" is, in fact, one of the oldest tricks in the world.
Unfortunately, many Americans have difficulty understanding such maneuvers. Honest, plain-speaking and law-abiding folk that we are, we find it difficult to comprehend the intrigues and deceptions to which ruthless men resort in pursuit of their ambitions.
I suppose it is better to be innocent than jaded. But naiveté ill prepares us for the realities of imperial power struggles such as we face today.
She’s already ahead in declared candidates... 56% to Obama’s 22%. This isn’t even a close race, yet the snow-job continues apace by the MSM.
Have they forgotten how to do anything but spin, manipulate, and propagandize?
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No way. They'll stay on the "plantation." Look at the way they rolled over with Pelosi's appointment as speaker of the house, as well as the other major appointments they never got. Hillary, McAuliff, et all know that they have nothing to worry about. The race pimps will keep the people they claim to represent rooting for scraps, because it keeps them in thousand dollar suits.
Mark
It isn't hard; this whole scenario just reeks of Bobby Kennedy.
Unfortunately, many Americans have difficulty understanding such maneuvers.
Researching and writing a book on environmental regulatory economics taught me how the great game works. Reading Rabbi Antelman's books taught me who's doing it and why.
If Hillary uses the super delegates to leverage a win despite losing the delegate vote decided in the primaries, the Dem party will implode. Black and Hispanic voters comprise 30% of the Dem registered voters. If the black candidate loses despite winning at the ballot box, i.e., the primaries, you can bet that the Hillary will suffer the consequences during the general election.
I don't believe the super delegates are suicidal and would destroy the Dem party by nominating someone who couldn't win at the ballot box during the primaries. The only caveat would be if the delegate count from the primaries is very close with Obama being narrowly ahead. If Obama has a significant lead in primary delegates, the super delegates will also break his way.
Good analysis. I agree.
This Soros son of a b***h makes me sick. He ran from Communism into the arms of the capitalist West and made his fortune here, in the style of the robber barons of yesteryear. Now he shows his gratitude by tearing down everything that made him what he is. The man is a human termite who ought to be sent back to Hungary in a packing crate on the deck of a tramp steamer.
Can anyone say Clinton/Obama 08 ?
Hillary will be easier to beat. Let’s not be too quick
to cheer for her defeat.
Hillary and the Super Delegates (How she’ll avoid a riot in Denver)
Mullings.com | Friday 02/15/2008 | Rich Galen
Posted on 02/14/2008 11:33:47 PM EST by Matchett-PI
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1970691/posts
Isn’t Bill Clinton a superdelegate?
While Billary stayed relatively even thru Super Tuesday she has fallen like a stone. After 10 blowouts in a row any idea of her invincibilty has been destroyed beyond recognition. Almost all of them have been double-digit victories with tonight no exception. The story of 80 districts registering ZERO votes for Obama in NY NY was so blatant as to swing quite a few Clinton acolytes. Then the stupidity of warming up the Super Delegate/MI-FL trump card early so as to establish the battle lines surely only strengthened the resolve of Democrats to head the Clinton's off at the pass. Because of the proportional aspects of the DEMs primaries the delegate wins do not reflect how decisive these victories are. But these huge margins, while a result of a myriad of factors, are, I believe, a message from Dem voters (minus the crossovers): We're gonna make these victories so lopsided that if you try to pull these proposed convention hijinx the roar will so audible that not only will a rejection be made but Billary will be challenged for her Senate seat in 2012 (which is a problem in itself).
Just wait until Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania. They will all swing towards Obama as to avoid a convention fight. It is the only way the electorate can voice their opinion on the subject. Hillary will be toast after March 4.
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