Posted on 01/06/2008 9:11:44 AM PST by Rudder
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire shows Barack Obama earning 39% of the vote while Hillary Clinton attracts 27%. The survey was conducted on Friday night and Saturday afternoon. All interviews were conducted after the Iowa caucuses and before last night’s debate.
Obama is seen as the most electable Democratic candidate. Eighty-seven percent (87%) believe he would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Clinton and 75% think Edwards would have a chance. Fifty-one percent (51%) of the Likely Democratic Primary Voters believe Obama would be Very Likely to win. Just 38% have such confidence in Clinton.
Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Barack Obama is currently favored to win in New Hampshire. Current prices imply that Obama has a 79.3 % chance of winning while Clinton has a 22.5 % chance. Numbers in this paragraph reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll. RasmussenMarkets.com is a “futures market” that harnesses competitive passions to becomes a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the markets correctly projected both Obama and Huckabee as the winners in Iowa.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Yeah, if the write-ins beat her...
It would be sweet if she lost to Obama on a massive write-in vote
Even though it would have no implications at the Convention, it would be a public relations disaster if she can’t even win unopposed...
Just checked: there are NO write-in votes counted.
http://www.woodtv.com/global/story.asp?s=7580904
If Hillary is to lose, it would be to Kucinich or Gravel...I’d put a lot of energy there if I was Kucinich, knowing the psychological momentum gained even if it means nothing in terms of delegates...
Obama Leads Clinton 38% to 26% in New Hampshire, ARG Poll Says
By Dan Hart
Jan. 6 (Bloomberg) — Barack Obama, who won the Iowa caucuses, leads Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire by 12 percentage points among likely voters in the Jan. 8 Democratic presidential primary, according to an American Research Group Inc. poll.
Obama, an Illinois senator, led with 38 percent, over Clinton, who received 26 percent support in the American Research Group poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The survey of 600 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted yesterday and Jan. 4 via telephone.
I went and got confirmation from Detroit Free Press, which then said "The second option is voting Republican" (IE, vote for the Rep candidate who is most RINO)
Someone posted here earlier that write-ins aren’t accepted in the Michigan primary.
I think there’s a very good chance it will make your 50-25 prediction.
That is EXACTLY what will happen. Hildabeast is going to get a free win and the RATS are going to vote Republican.
This is what I’ve been saying for weeks here on FR and some here just can’t grasp the facts.
Romney is going to lose MI and then drop out because he has no chance unless he could get ALL the RATS to vote for him.
That isn’t going to happen.
If Romney were smart ( I doubt that ) he would drop after the NH loss next Tues to save the embarrassment.
I thought I said 40-25.
You’re right, 40-25. I’m getting ahead of myself with pure glee.
Obama taking the Democrat standard? Could we get so lucky?
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
That may not mean anything if the RAT super delegates she's bought stay with her.
Hey Gramps, Is that photo of Hillary standing in front of that group of people real? She looks catatonic, and the “crowd” looks bored to tears.
Looking at the 4 weaklings in the Dem debates last night, the more encouraged and confident I am that a Republican will win in November. This Dem crew is psychotic!
And you don’t think they have “friends” at the FBI who are still feeding them files ?
The Clinton’s made sure their people had solid positions at key departments before they left the WH.
Absolutely.
The people overwhelmingly vote for Obama, but Hillary's hand-picked delegates declare her the nominee. The democrat party explodes at the seams.
Unlikely.
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