Latest Strategic Vision Poll in Iowa: Fred Thompson surges, Ron Paul crashes, Hillary 3rd

Strategic Vision ^ | January 2, 2008 | Strategic Vision

[nwrep]

Mitt Romney 30%

Mike Huckabee 28%

John McCain 16%

Fred Thompson 13%

Rudy Giuliani 4%

Ron Paul 4%

Duncan Hunter 1%

Undecided 4%

DEMOCRATS:

Barack Obama 32%

John Edwards 29%

Hillary Clinton 27%

Joseph Biden 5%

Bill Richardson 2%

Chris Dodd 1% Dennis Kucinich 1% Undecided 3%

[SuziQ]

I’m not sure which will be more embarrassing for him: losing to an ethanol-basher in Iowa or losing to Ron Paul in NH.

Since neither primary is actually relevant to the ultimate outcome, I don't see why it matters, other than for bragging rights, and possibly fundraising. But folks who are supporting Fred have done it anyway, regardless of polls.

[ConservativeDude]

Since neither primary is actually relevant to the ultimate outcome...”

Um, ok.

We’ll see if your assertion is true in a couple of weeks.

[SuziQ]

Just going by past history. The winner of the Iowa Caucus has won the nomination a little over half the time, several of those being the incumbent. As far as NH is concerned, some of last few winners of the primary have been John McCain and Pat Buchanan, or someone else, NOT the eventual nominee. Even the Democrats don’t always choose the eventual nominee in their NY primary, considering Gary Hart won it in the year he ran. Seems pretty clear to me that neither IA or NH is indicative of the majority of other Republican voters these days.