[discostu]

Theoretically sure, practically not even close. Anybody that can’t poll around random chance (ie with 4 people in the race around 25%, with 8 contenders around 12% etc etc) probably can’t win, and anybody that can’t poll better than the published margin of error absolutely cannot win.

[Man50D]

Anybody that can’t poll around random chance (ie with 4 people in the race around 25%, with 8 contenders around 12% etc etc) probably can’t win, and anybody that can’t poll better than the published margin of error absolutely cannot win.

Polls are a farce for several reasons:

1. They cover a very small percentage of the population.
2. Pollsters can target a group of people they know will give certain responses.
3. Pollsters can structure a question a certain way to elicit a given response.
4. Pollsters can discard any responses that contradict their desired results.

Unfortunately too many people give too much credit to polls and end up making assumptions by drinking the Kool Aid offered by the socialist media.