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Fred or Ron?
Samizdata ^ | December 31, 2007

Posted on 12/30/2007 10:27:51 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Fred Thompson or Ron Paul? Like Perry and some others, I would rather see a big government Democrat elected than a big government Republican. At least that would bring back some opposition. Republicans in Congress have a much better record of reining in the Democrats' presidents than their own. And as I explain later, I think that one of these two is the only Republican candidate capable of winning the national election.

Ron Paul answering the What programs? question by naming three cabinet level departments ... Wow. Good answer. If there was no rest-of-the-world, he would possibly have my vote.

"Possibly?!" Yes. Possibly. Why? Because good intentions are not enough. Many people have the right ideas. Even if elected, he needs to maneuver his ideas through both the Washington players and the great ambivalent middle of the electorate. He needs to explain and convince massive numbers of mainstream people that what he will bring is better for them personally. How many think Ron Paul is up to that job? I don't.

Does any small government candidate have a chance both to be elected and a chance of accomplishing a rollback if elected?

Fred Thompson. Beyond all doubt he will achieve far more of Ron Paul's goals than Ron Paul himself has even the slightest hope of achieving.

Reagan was the most recent president that was able to shift the entire national government onto a new course. What unusual skills did he have that made this possible? A big one is that he was an actor before he went into politics. His nickname was 'The Great Communicator'. It wasn't enough to know what he wanted to do, he had to be able to achieve it in an arena where selling the product is everything.

To achieve anything a president must be taken seriously, both as an ally and as an opponent. Power in Washington is popularity, persuasiveness, trust... Gravitas. A president who would roll back government needs to naturally inspire respect and confidence. Rolling back government frightens most people. Even most of us who are determined to see government greatly reduced want to see it done in a planned and controlled way. Particularly in times of external threat, a civil collapse unleashes, not reins in the government. The differences I have with Perry on this topic are because first, I believe the world is entering a far more dangerous time militarily and economically than we have experienced since the height of the cold war. And second, I believe Fred Thompson will actually achieve many of the goals that Ron Paul could only attempt. Unlike Fred, Ron Paul has the gravitas of a helium balloon. And when he gets excited he even sounds like he has been inhaling from one. Sigh. This image certainly did not help.

Fred versus Ron to successfully reduce the size of government? Not even close. Fred.

Libertarians of many stripes are telling us we should be spectators of international affairs. This is a short course to oblivion. We positively cannot stay uninvolved in the rest of the world. To believe we can just allow other nuclear players to 'have it out' is as delusional as sitting in the corner of a four man tent watching the other three fighting with hand grenades while stating solemnly "It is their fight, I am not involved." We are on a small planet full of big weapons. Libertarians who claim we can be uninvolved in other nations' quarrels are gambling that no nation will ever actually use a nuclear weapon. I reject that assumption. They can and if they can imagine a benefit, they will. This genie is not going back in the bottle. And fall out is no respecter of national borders. Our food production is still at risk no matter how neutral we are.

MAD, mutually assured destruction, is the butt of many dark jokes. The truth however, is that it works well when dealing with a rationally self interested opportunist. For fifty years it has prevented the rational holders of nuclear weapons from using them. But in the case of irrational or potentially irrational nuclear powers, its effect cannot be assumed. With nations like Syria, Iran and any new wannabes, if we have or can create the opportunity, preemptive strikes against nuclear facilities must be kept available as an option. We must also be alert for unstable nuclear states being used as a first-use surrogate by other nuclear powers.

Redeploying back within our borders, Ron Paul's approach, requires abandoning international trade with any nation that is attacked or even threatened by any other government or terrorist organization. World trade requires the staffing and basing of military forces around the world. To believe we can avoid foreign entanglements and yet still trade internationally is fantasy. It has been tried many times throughout history, the last time we tried it, submarines attacked merchant and passenger shipping. The targets will include air traffic now. Rejecting involvement in foreign entanglements means rejecting foreign trade with all aligned or attacked nations.

Ron Paul is by far the highest profile pure anti-war candidate (Dennis who?) and consequentially he has picked up the majority of the anti-military and quite a bit of the anti-American demographic. While many of his supporters here argue energetically that he is not an isolationist, they have convinced me that if not a deliberate isolationist, he is an accidental one. This is the far worse case as it would mean that he doesn't understand the role of a strong, prepositioned military in prevention. President Bush eagerly threw the military answer at far too many questions. The answer is not to forfeit those capabilities.

I am sure there will be guffaws of laughter from some Paul supporters when I say "peace through strength". With his forty years of experience in politics, law and communication (beginning with the Goldwater campaign), Fred Thompson understands both the domestic and legal repercussions of strength diplomacy. Over a decade before first being elected to the Senate, Fred served as special counsel to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the Senate Intelligence Committee. Unlike any other candidate, he not only knows the "what?", he has a strong constitutional and international grasp of the "how?" For those of you who wonder what a 'Special Counsel' does, their most visible role is leaning forward and putting words in the politicians' mouths during public hearings. Fred is able to put the words in his own mouth. Go figure.

More valuable than any other candidate's security credentials, I think Fred understands the mechanism of strength diplomacy. The choice on foreign affairs goes easily to Fred for anybody that wants to sustain foreign trade even if they mistakenly believe we can hunker down safely in a world of militarized satellites and missiles targeted at us.

Last qualification, electability. Much has been made of Giuliani and Romney being 'electable'. Riiight. Does anybody seriously believe that a voter wanting an east coast style big government liberal is going to vote for a Liberal Lite big government Republican instead of the real thing? Not even remotely. A big government Republican is not going to draw away any Democrat voters but will drive away many Republicans. Fred does satisfy voters concerned about our safety and about his understanding and capacity to protect it. And he has an almost Churchill like deliberate and imposing persona. Fred is the only Republican candidate that has a serious chance of winning the national election.

Fred will be the first time since Reagan that I actually vote for a presidential candidate instead of against their opponent.

Here is the real shocker. Cynical me, this is also the only time ever that I have donated to a political campaign except for one time I was a candidate for local office. That was a case of putting my money where my mouth is. I guess this is too.

Fred '08


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Tennessee; US: Texas; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: antiwar; biggovernment; bureacracy; conservatives; democratparty; democrats; electability; election; electionpresident; elections; federalism; fred; frederalism; fredheads; fredthompson; gop; government; governmentwaste; independents; iraq; isolationism; isolationists; libertarians; nationaldefense; republicans; ronpaul; smallgovernment; thompson
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Well done!
1 posted on 12/30/2007 10:27:53 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Urggghhh! This would have been permitted in News/Activism!


2 posted on 12/30/2007 10:33:53 PM PST by jdm
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Sami is right on the mark.

FRed gets it, and he can give it, as well.


3 posted on 12/30/2007 10:37:21 PM PST by papasmurf (I'm voting for FRed, even if I have to write him in.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Excellent!

This is going to tie the Ministry of Silly Explanations in knots.

4 posted on 12/30/2007 10:39:52 PM PST by Allegra (That midget hates it when I do that.)
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To: Admin Moderator; 2ndDivisionVet
I want to thank the mod for moving this to News/Activism.

2ndDV - Even a photo of Chelsea is allowed in News/Activism, so of course this piece would...

5 posted on 12/30/2007 10:43:00 PM PST by jdm
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
MAD, mutually assured destruction, is the butt of many dark jokes. The truth however, is that it works well when dealing with a rationally self interested opportunist. For fifty years it has prevented the rational holders of nuclear weapons from using them. But in the case of irrational or potentially irrational nuclear powers, its effect cannot be assumed.

Exactomundo.

6 posted on 12/30/2007 10:45:04 PM PST by Mr. Mojo
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I wouldn’t have thought to compare Fred and Ron.

That’s like comparing Winston Churchill to The Joker from Batman. It’s not something most people would think to do.

7 posted on 12/30/2007 10:50:45 PM PST by ConservativeMind
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To: ConservativeMind
"I wouldn’t have thought to compare Fred and Ron. That’s like comparing Winston Churchill to The Joker from Batman. It’s not something most people would think to do."

Yes, but some of those who support Ron Paul could be brought back to conservatism with a federalist like Fred. I don't think Rudy McRombee would draw many of Paul's right-wing supporters (not the Birkenstockers, Neo-Nazis, peacecreeps and KKK).

8 posted on 12/30/2007 10:56:00 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“I would rather see a big government Democrat elected than a big government Republican.”

Then you must feel we would have been better off these last eight years with Al Gore or John Kerry?

Cuz that is precisely what you contend.


9 posted on 12/30/2007 10:58:31 PM PST by truth_seeker
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

BTTT


10 posted on 12/30/2007 11:00:13 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

>>
We positively cannot stay uninvolved in the rest of the world.
>>

True. But we sure can pull out of some places, like Germany and Japan. There are military bases in places where our presence is no longer necessary, and no bases in places where we are sorely needed.

One global field of action I would like to see us take is to mobilize and mount a world-wide anti-piracy action, involving a great many of the nations whose ships are being attacked on a daily basis. Going it alone would be foolish, but organizing a group of nations to coordinate fighting against pirates, many of whom steal in the Indian Ocean to support terrorism, would be beneficial to a whole lot of nations and not just to ourselves.


11 posted on 12/30/2007 11:05:33 PM PST by SatinDoll
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To: truth_seeker
Remember: I am not the author of these articles, unless explicitly stated.
12 posted on 12/30/2007 11:13:17 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"To achieve anything a president must be taken seriously, both as an ally and as an opponent. "

Must have never heard of an Executive Order...

13 posted on 12/31/2007 12:33:11 AM PST by endthematrix (He was shouting 'Allah!' but I didn't hear that. It just sounded like a lot of crap to me.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ron Paul is a non choice for many many reasons, not the least of which is that nothing he proposes to stand for can actually be achieved by a POTUS. We don’t elect emperors.

To achieve what the libertarians want to get done, both the good and the silly parts, requires a retaking of the political field at the ground level starting in city/county politics and working from there up.

No POTUS nor even a Congress can make any real substantial changes to bring us back to our government as set forth in our Constitution for so long as the education system is allowed to be a safe haven for intellectual inbred social utopianist indoctrinators and our local governance is demanding socialist superstate welfarism to answer the demands created in the population by those who constantly teach and preach cultural erosionism.

There’s no way in hell any of that can be addressed, ameliorated or much reduced by a POTUS.

Even SCOUTS appointments can only delay the cultural degradation.


14 posted on 12/31/2007 12:37:42 AM PST by Grimmy (equivocation is but the first step along the road to capitulation)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Thompson is the man. I wouldn’t elect Paul dogcatcher.


15 posted on 12/31/2007 12:52:15 AM PST by DesScorp
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"Fred will be the first time since Reagan that I actually vote for a presidential candidate instead of against their opponent. "

The title of the thread was Fred or Ron? So I guess the Ron Paul trash talk was just for fun?

16 posted on 12/31/2007 12:53:43 AM PST by endthematrix (He was shouting 'Allah!' but I didn't hear that. It just sounded like a lot of crap to me.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Well, I might get lambasted for going against the majority here, but there are a few reasons why I can't support Thompson. (I know how popular he is here, but if a difference of opinion is allowed, then please don't come back with attacks, I'm just sharing how I feel, if that is ok.)

The main one is, he represents the status-quo. More of the same. I realize that for many here that is ok, or it's a good thing. But I think our country is on the wrong path and there are some very serious problems that need to be reversed, before it's too late. To me, electing a status-quo candidate at this point is out of the question.

I've learned to trust my instincts, and they've been right, for the most part. My gut instinct tells me that something is not as it appears. I get the feeling he is a typical politician, who says all the right things, and may sound great, but like Bush and others, is just part of the insiders club. They talk about conservatism, but our government keeps growing, we keep heading towards socialism... so again, it's more of the same.

Also, I know that many of you scoff at this, but I couldn't vote for anyone who is a CFR member. The fact that he is, just confirms my feeling that he is another globalist and not a true constitutionalist/patriot.

And the fact that he is an actor is another thing I don't like. That may sound petty, but it just gives more weight to my initial instinct.

There are few other things too, but it doesn't matter, I could never vote for him, and I don't want to anger any Fredheads even more, so I'll just leave it at that. ;-)

17 posted on 12/31/2007 2:29:40 AM PST by incindiary
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To: incindiary
The main one is, he (Thompson) represents the status-quo. More of the same.

Pitiful and sad. You haven't got a single clue what Fred Thompson is all about and probably wouldn't if you were tutored on the subject. Your statement above stands as stark proof.

18 posted on 12/31/2007 2:54:49 AM PST by John Valentine
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To: John Valentine
I have heard him speak at debates, I have read where he stands on the issues, I have watched his videos, I've read FR threads, and what his supporters say... Sorry, but I have seen enough to have an opinion on him.
19 posted on 12/31/2007 2:58:23 AM PST by incindiary
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To: incindiary

So then, just for my amusement, which of the Republican candidates (if any) do you think does NOT stand for the “status quo”?


20 posted on 12/31/2007 3:06:52 AM PST by John Valentine
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