Zogby interviewed the west side of Manhattan.
And assorted others in NY State’s frightfully depressed inner cities.
Actually this is probably the Doug Wilder Effect. You remember that when Mr.Wilder ran for governor of Virginia he was polling 12 point ahead of his opponent, but won by only 2 points. Exit polling indicated that people were telling pollsters that they would vote for Wilder because they did not want ot appear racist to the pollster, but when they got in the voting booth voted for the white guy instead. Same thing will happen to Obama.
Any poll about Obama’s chances will be tainted because people don’t want to be perceived as racist.