Not a single one.
Posted on 11/21/2007 11:56:00 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone November 14-18, 2007, among a random sample of 400 Iowans likely to vote in the Republican caucus. The results have a five percentage point margin of sampling error. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent --snip--
4. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) If the caucuses were being held today, would you attend the (Democratic Party caucus) or the (Republican Party caucus) in your precinct? Democratic caucus Republican caucus 11/18/07 0 100 7/31/07 0 100
5. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, and Fred Thompson), who would you support? NET LEANED VOTE: (Continued)
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Would that be before or after he tells us how the latest ARG or Zogby poll shows the inevitability of Romney?
“Since when is a two point gain to 15 percent a “surge.””
Agreed.
Title abuse, if not more
So, he's getting more consistent now?
I think the main part of that story is Huckabee.
I don’t understand where you got that subtitle.
a surge from 13% to 15%....That’s HUGH!
It’s all about perception. If Mr. Thompson places third in Iowa, when he isn’t expected to, he will “surge” in South Carolina, Florida and Nevada.
SPEEEEEEW - you owe me a keyboard. LOL
He is surging from where he was recently, not from July!
And the voters must have found out how pro-illegal alien the Huckster is.
Well, we un-informed folks who see it as a gain of 15% (13% to 15% is a 15.4% increase, for me by taking off both shoes and using all my fingers, too) from previous levels in the poll (simple math, I reckon) as pretty much a surge, but then, we're not as astute as others who are wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy more knowledgable than us.
If your "candidate" had a 15% increase in his poll numbers, would you consider that significant?
At "Subtitles 'R' Us" of course.
That and a good chunk of the undecided vote makes this very doable for Fred.
“It’s all about perception. If Mr. Thompson places third in Iowa, when he isn’t expected to, he will “surge” in South Carolina, Florida and Nevada.”
If Romney places first and Huckabee second, then presumably they will experience even more of a ‘surge’ in those states.
What a difference 8 years can make...
this is from January of 2000 NYT:
But Iowans often make up their minds at the last minute, and polls suggest that they have not made their final caucus decisions yet.
‘’Politics is Muzak to a lot of people,’’ said David Yepsen, the chief political reporter for the Des Moines Register. ‘’They don’t pay attention until they have to, and that’s getting later and later. In the governor’s race last year, Tom Vilsack came from 25 points behind in the last three weeks to win by five points.’’
In this year’s Democratic contest, Mr. Bradley, a former senator from New Jersey, has decided to devote all or part of every day until the caucuses to campaigning here. A certain languor still marks his personal style, and he still tries to cast himself as a different kind of politician, who accentuates the positive. One day this week, he bent his 6-foot, 5-inch frame around a lectern and chatted for half an hour with schoolchildren about health.
But Mr. Bradley’s words in other contexts have taken on an edge, whether he is accusing Vice President Gore of neglecting the interests of Iowa farmers, many of whom have been left behind in the Clinton-era boom, or attacking him as a reliable friend of the big tobacco companies.
LOL!
He can take all the time he wants, IMO.
Huckabee won’t do a think once people realize he’s in no way a conservative.
Amen...
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