Posted on 11/16/2007 4:45:13 PM PST by JCEccles
Now with a commanding lead in the lead off Caucus, and big lead in New Hampshire, Romney has extended his lead while Huckabee is starting to lose steam. It would appear as if voters were beginning to look at his record and not like what they see.
Romney now has 29% of Likely Caucus voters followed by Huckabee trailing Romney by thirteen percentage points, who now has 16%. In a virtual tie for second is Rudy Giuliani at 15% and Fred Thompson at 14%. Further back are John McCain (6%), Ron Paul (4%), Tom Tancredo (4%), and Duncan Hunter (2%).
If Rudy pulls off a second here and New Hampshire, it will all but eliminate everyone but Romney and Rudy. If that should happen, you will see voters from the other candidates drift to either Romney or Rudy, setting up a long battle (IMHO) for the nomination. I fully expect Romney to have the delegate lead going into Feb 5th, where Rudy will catch up and perhaps pass Romney. Either way, both candidates will probably still be alive well into the primary season.
Mitt alone has the money, the energy, and organization to challenge Rudy for the nomination. It will be interesting to see whether anti-Mormon bigotry will sink the only fair opportunity conservatives have this election cycle.
Bump.
What is interesting is that you think other people’s presumed bigotry is his only flaw.
It sounds like it wasn’t antimormon bigotry. It might have been “friends” of Romney.
I’ll probably hold my nose and vote for Romney if he is the nominee. The doubts I have on him have nothing to do with his religion. I just don’t trust that his positions are really what he says, when I have seen evidence that he has held the opposite positions on many issues in the past. Maybe he has changed, but I’d rather go with a consistent Conservative that has a consistent past.
Duncan Hunter or Fred Thompson are on the top of my list right now.
i don’t buy it. I’ll have to see more than innuendos.
Giuliani isn't getting much traction in Iowa, either.
Bottom line: Mitt's lead in Iowa is even stronger than it appears.
Anti flip flopping bigotry will hurt Romney.
He changes positions more often than John Edwards reaches for hairspray.
Other than that, I guess Huckabee has a good chance in NH.
I agree, I don’t think that Romney has what it takes to defeat the Hildebeast, either. I think that he would say, “Excuse me,” and take a step back,when Hillary accused him of invading her space. I don’t think that he is strong enough to stand up to Reid and Pelosi, either. He proved it when he couldn’t stand up to the liberals in Massachusetts.
You are so correct pointing out that he is using his own money trying to buy the election! Not everyday a mittmut does that.
That’s funny. I support Romney precisely because I think he can beat Hitlery. I think he has more energy and better communication skills than the other candidates. Of course, Rudy can beat Hitlery too, but he doesn’t represent values I believe in.
“It will be interesting to see whether anti-Mormon bigotry will sink the only fair opportunity conservatives have this election cycle.”
What’s also interesting is the pro-Mormon bigotry that rejects other candidates based on their religion.
You see someone running an "efficient, crisp" campaign, I see a flip-flopping scoundrel who is throwing millions of dollars down a rat hole chaasing after the dwindling number of registered Republicans who are already split among Huckabee, Hunter & Thompson.
Romney has zero grassroots support, he has no natural base of support within the GOP. Fred/Huckabee has the rank-and-file Republicans, Rudy has the RINOs and GOP sheep who'll vote R even if Stalin was a Republican, and Dr. Paul has the independents and libertarians, in addition to the old right conservatives. In a nutshell, Romney is toast.
Fred has a somewhat better voting record during eight years in the senate, but he was representing a fairly conservative state. No excuse for him to support Soros-sponsored campaign finance reform or let Clinton skate on one charge. Still, I'm warming up to Fred because he's willing to touch the third rail (social security).
Mitt also impresses me. He's a self-made multi-millionaire unlike those pampered New Englanders who inherited it (Kennedy) or married it (Kerry). I also like his work ethic. We'll need someone with that kind of energy to defeat the witch with the enemedia shilling for her 24/7.
If it comes down to Mitt vs. Fred, I'll probably support the one with the best plan in the war on terror and illegal immigrant invasion, the two key issues in my opinion. Duncan Hunter is better than either one on both issues.
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