[kevkrom]

That's not "reasonable analysis", that's wishful thinking. People who make investment decisions based on wishful thinking are what make the people who know what they're doing profitable.

You want it to be true, so therefore you assume it will be so. But the people who put the time and effort into it and put their own money on the line about it say otherwise.

Take a deep breath, step back from your own biases and assumptions, and realize that Hunter's contract is stagnant at the minimum trading value because there is absolutely no interest in him, and no expectation that the situation will change.

[Kevmo]

That’s not “reasonable analysis”, that’s wishful thinking.
***Then I challenge you to discuss the reasonability of the analysis on that thread. 290 posts and no one can knock down the analysis.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts?page=1,250

If the analysis was as far off as you suggest, then the Intraders would have dismantled it. They don’t proceed from the kind of bias that you do.

http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page