[Kevmo]

That’s not “reasonable analysis”, that’s wishful thinking.
***Then I challenge you to discuss the reasonability of the analysis on that thread. 290 posts and no one can knock down the analysis.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts?page=1,250

If the analysis was as far off as you suggest, then the Intraders would have dismantled it. They don’t proceed from the kind of bias that you do.

http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page

[kevkrom]

Then I challenge you to discuss the reasonability of the analysis on that thread. 290 posts and no one can knock down the analysis.

I'll tackle you where you post this spam. I've already "knocked down" your analysis more times than I care to count.

NO ONE WANTS TO TAKE HUNTER, EVEN AT A 1000:1 PAYOUT

That's it, pure and simple. Even if Hunter were to crawl his way to 5% in a reputable poll, he still has a 0% probability of being the Republican nominee, and the Intrade investors KNOW it. There is no upside to a Hunter contract because it will eventually be worth $0.00 -- that's why no one can dump shares even at the bare minimum $0.10 trading price.