[Petronski]

You wanna talk fruit, apples and oranges are fruit. You only wanna talk apples, the guy who likes oranges might have a thing to say about it, and it’s okay as long as he keeps calling them both fruit. You just did. So you can no longer tell me not to post data from Intrade.

That's a huge gigantic rationalization of the conflation and misdirection you've attempted on Free Republic all week. I guarandamntee you I will continue to call you on it as long as I have posting privileges.

Meanwhile,

Do you personally believe Fred Thompson is not a Christian?

[Kevmo]

That’s a huge gigantic rationalization of the conflation and misdirection you’ve attempted on Free Republic all week.
***You just posted that the stuff from Intrade IS DATA. Call me on it all you want. I think the Intrade results are fascinating and people are starting to notice. Thanks.

Meanwhile,Do you personally believe Fred Thompson is not a Christian?
***Answered already, not biting at the bait.

[Kevmo]

Good news, folks. Petronski and I worked things out on the efficacy thread, and this post pasts muster as “not a lie”.

It’s a wide open race, might as well back the most conservative man.

According to Polls, Fred Thompson Foundering
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1925179/posts

Here’s what I’ve been posting lately.

Here’s a recent poll showing Hunter at 4%.

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28889/republicans_2008_giuliani_28_thompson_19

Here’s an intrade link to the forum site discussing how Hunter might be gaining traction.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1797.page

Here’s an intrade link to the forum site discussing how Fred is at $6, which corresponds to the traders believing he has a 6% chance of winning the nomination, and discussing why.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page

One thing prediction markets are better at — their only bias is whether someone can make money trading the futures contracts.

The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets
The Liberty Papers ^ | November 8, 2007 | Brad Warbiany
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts

Posted on 11/08/2007 12:21:43 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum

Fred has lost ~30 points at Intrade over the last few weeks, looks like it’s stabilizing at ~6%.

Thompson Tanking in Futures Markets (Intrade, IEM)
Intrade; Iowa Electronic Markets ^ | October 31, 2008

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1919127/posts

The Dropout contract for Thompson has an ask price 2 points higher than last trade. There is no Dropout contract for Hunter.

http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/

DROPOUT.DEC07.(F)THOMPSON
Fred Thompson to drop out of 2008 Presidential race on/before 31 Dec 2007 M 6.0 9.2 4.0 0 0

37 posted on 11/14/2007 6:53:53 PM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq — via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
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