[Grunthor]

“Rudy Giuliani remains on top with 23% support from Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. Fred Thompson earns 16% of the vote”

I expect McCain to drop our following New Hampshire, and possibly a couple of the lesser knowns as well. The lions’ share of those votes will likely go to Fred, bringing him at least even with Rudy, if not ahead by a few pts, but still within the margin of error.

It’s going to be a great convention!

[ReveBM]

I don’t think this type of process will be damaging to the Republican nominee. I could easily see the party uniting behind someone (even someone I don’t like) and quickly facing the Dem opponent. It must be hard for Hillary and the DNC right now not to know who to turn their guns on.

[JFC]

I think McCain will be Rudy’s running mate as v.p.

[The Pack Knight]

I expect McCain to drop our following New Hampshire, and possibly a couple of the lesser knowns as well. The lions’ share of those votes will likely go to Fred, bringing him at least even with Rudy, if not ahead by a few pts, but still within the margin of error.

I think you're right. I'll go further and say I'll be surprised if Tancredo makes it to January, and that I would not be at all surprised if Huckabee, Hunter, or both have dropped out by New Hampshire. McCain will drop out if he fails to win New Hampshire. Paul will probably stick it out until the convention a la Howard Dean.

I think it'll be down to Giuliani, Romney, Thompson, and maybe Paul by South Carolina, and perhaps down to 3 or even 2 by Feb. 5.