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Hurricane Noel
NAVY/NRL ^

Posted on 10/27/2007 7:12:41 PM PDT by nwctwx

16L.NONAME

WHXX01 KWBC 280036 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0036 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN (AL162007) 20071028 0000 UTC


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: noel; tropical; tropics; tsnoel; weather
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; Amelia; asp1; ..
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southeastern
Florida coast from north of Ocean Reef to Deerfield Beach.

A tropical storm watch is in effect from north of
Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet Florida.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

161 posted on 11/01/2007 5:07:20 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse
it's been blowing out of the west for three days here in Key West

.

162 posted on 11/01/2007 5:52:07 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

It’s been blowing for days all the way up here in Tampa Bay. Something about a gradient...


163 posted on 11/01/2007 6:09:23 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse
this storm will be our season shift in weather .. now it drops between 75 & 85 for the rest of the season

Le's pray the season is over this wind will churn and cool the ocean and the Caribbean ... I'm sure the media is deeply saddened

.

164 posted on 11/01/2007 6:32:27 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: NautiNurse; Elle Bee
Ya'll keep your heads down!

And I do hope you get at least SOME decent rain.

165 posted on 11/01/2007 6:43:56 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: NautiNurse
Models trending west towards some sort of a New England hit as this storm strengthens and accelerates out:


166 posted on 11/01/2007 9:00:34 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the ping.


167 posted on 11/01/2007 1:14:39 PM PDT by GOPJ (When it makes you mad -- "ping & grrrr" -- Freeper:pandoraou812)
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To: NautiNurse

This is some pretty strange weather. Windy last 3 days with spells of spitting rain- today the sun shines for an hour- then we get squalls coming through...sun out again etc...right now it’s raining.


168 posted on 11/01/2007 1:17:37 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: NautiNurse
Now that Noel's eye is clear of land, he's finally found the strength to become a hurricane.

Hurricane Noel Intermediate Advisory Number 21A

Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on November 01, 2007

...Air Force reconnaissance plane finds Hurricane Noel as it moves
away from the Bahamas...
 
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the central and
northwestern Bahamas. The watch and warning for the Bahamas will
likely be discontinued tonight.
 
A Gale Warning remains in effect for Bermuda.
 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
 
At 800 PM EDT...0000z...the center of recently-upgraded Hurricane
Noel was located near latitude 26.5 north...longitude 76.5 west or
about 115 miles...190 km...north-northeast of Nassau in the Bahamas
and about 810 miles...1300 west-southwest of Bermuda.
 
Noel has increased its forward speed and is now moving toward the
north-northeast near 17 mph...29 km/hr...away from the Bahamas. An
additional increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24
hours.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120 km/hr...
with higher gusts. Noel is now a category one hurricane on the
Saffir/Simpson hurricane scale. However...it is expected to lose
tropical characteristics within the next 24 hours.  Noel should
then strengthen and increase in size as an extratropical cyclone. 
Interests along the U.S. East Coast from North Carolina northward
should consult statements issued by their local NWS forecast
office.
 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...and
these winds are limited to the north and east of the center. 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles...185 km
mainly to the north and east of the center.
 
Data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that the minimum central
pressure has dropped to 981 mb...28.97 inches.
 
Above normal tides are likely within the warning areas.
 
Noel is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10
inches in the Bahamas...with possible maximum amounts of 18 inches.
Additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are expected
over eastern Cuba...where these rains could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.  Rainfall amounts of an inch or so are
possible across the Outer Banks of North Carolina.
 
Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...26.5 N...76.5 W.  Movement
toward...north-northeast near 17 mph.  Maximum sustained winds...75
mph.  Minimum central pressure...981 mb.
 
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Avila

169 posted on 11/01/2007 5:14:18 PM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: nwctwx; Admin Moderator

UPDATE: Fox is saying that she is now a Cat 1 hurricane off of Bahamas.


170 posted on 11/01/2007 5:44:50 PM PDT by Blogger (Propheteuon.com)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; Amelia; asp1; ..
Hurricane Noel
Moving away from the Bahamas...
Heads up Outer Banks NC and East MA.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

171 posted on 11/01/2007 5:55:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: Blogger

thanks, starting to look rather healthy.


172 posted on 11/01/2007 5:57:46 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: NautiNurse
Wait a minute, wait a minute....

..no one's suggesting it could come ashore in my parts (east central coast), do they?

I haven't been paying attention to this thang!

173 posted on 11/01/2007 5:58:26 PM PDT by Guenevere (Duncan Hunter...President '08)
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To: NautiNurse

oh boy


174 posted on 11/01/2007 6:00:39 PM PDT by RDTF ("Courage is resistance to fear, mastery of fear - not absence of fear". Mark Twain)
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To: NautiNurse

Huh? Hurricane? Thought this was going to die on its way back out to the east.

I love it when the weather surprises us:)


175 posted on 11/01/2007 6:06:00 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: NautiNurse

I miss the witch.

So. its finally a hurricane, but it looks like we will complete 2 full years without a signifigant hurricane hitting the US.


176 posted on 11/01/2007 6:10:25 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (Ron Paul Criminality: http://www.wired.com/politics/security/news/2007/10/paul_bot)
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To: nwctwx

Wish she would surprise everyone and take a sudden left turn into Florida and hit Georgia and TN.


177 posted on 11/01/2007 6:15:32 PM PDT by Blogger (Propheteuon.com)
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To: Guenevere

We’re ok, Guenevere, hopefully the wind out of the east and those little showers will be over soon.


178 posted on 11/01/2007 6:24:32 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (Fred Dalton Thompson for President)
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To: Guenevere

Not unless you’re on the central east coast of Canada, eh?


179 posted on 11/01/2007 6:34:33 PM PDT by alancarp (How many millions have to break a law before it's inconvenient to enforce?)
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To: NonValueAdded
I don't mind the wind and showers...

..just don't want a hurricane.

180 posted on 11/01/2007 6:35:33 PM PDT by Guenevere (Duncan Hunter...President '08)
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