Posted on 10/27/2007 7:12:41 PM PDT by nwctwx
16L.NONAME
WHXX01 KWBC 280036 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0036 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN (AL162007) 20071028 0000 UTC
A tropical storm watch is in effect from north of
Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet Florida.
.
It’s been blowing for days all the way up here in Tampa Bay. Something about a gradient...
Le's pray the season is over this wind will churn and cool the ocean and the Caribbean ... I'm sure the media is deeply saddened
.
And I do hope you get at least SOME decent rain.
Thanks for the ping.
This is some pretty strange weather. Windy last 3 days with spells of spitting rain- today the sun shines for an hour- then we get squalls coming through...sun out again etc...right now it’s raining.
Hurricane Noel Intermediate Advisory Number 21A
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on November 01, 2007
...Air Force reconnaissance plane finds Hurricane Noel as it moves away from the Bahamas... A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the central and northwestern Bahamas. The watch and warning for the Bahamas will likely be discontinued tonight. A Gale Warning remains in effect for Bermuda. For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office. At 800 PM EDT...0000z...the center of recently-upgraded Hurricane Noel was located near latitude 26.5 north...longitude 76.5 west or about 115 miles...190 km...north-northeast of Nassau in the Bahamas and about 810 miles...1300 west-southwest of Bermuda. Noel has increased its forward speed and is now moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph...29 km/hr...away from the Bahamas. An additional increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120 km/hr... with higher gusts. Noel is now a category one hurricane on the Saffir/Simpson hurricane scale. However...it is expected to lose tropical characteristics within the next 24 hours. Noel should then strengthen and increase in size as an extratropical cyclone. Interests along the U.S. East Coast from North Carolina northward should consult statements issued by their local NWS forecast office. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...and these winds are limited to the north and east of the center. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles...185 km mainly to the north and east of the center. Data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that the minimum central pressure has dropped to 981 mb...28.97 inches. Above normal tides are likely within the warning areas. Noel is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Bahamas...with possible maximum amounts of 18 inches. Additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are expected over eastern Cuba...where these rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall amounts of an inch or so are possible across the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...26.5 N...76.5 W. Movement toward...north-northeast near 17 mph. Maximum sustained winds...75 mph. Minimum central pressure...981 mb. The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
UPDATE: Fox is saying that she is now a Cat 1 hurricane off of Bahamas.
thanks, starting to look rather healthy.
..no one's suggesting it could come ashore in my parts (east central coast), do they?
I haven't been paying attention to this thang!
oh boy
Huh? Hurricane? Thought this was going to die on its way back out to the east.
I love it when the weather surprises us:)
I miss the witch.
So. its finally a hurricane, but it looks like we will complete 2 full years without a signifigant hurricane hitting the US.
Wish she would surprise everyone and take a sudden left turn into Florida and hit Georgia and TN.
We’re ok, Guenevere, hopefully the wind out of the east and those little showers will be over soon.
Not unless you’re on the central east coast of Canada, eh?
..just don't want a hurricane.
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