Wow. Thompson sure takes a nose dive...
Posted on 10/26/2007 4:09:37 PM PDT by Spiff
Poll: Romney grows lead in NH
A new poll of New Hampshire Republicans shows Mitt Romney is gaining ground on his Republican rivals.
A Rasmussen Poll released today shows Romney grew his lead from 3 percentage points to 9 percentage points in a month over his nearest opponent, Rudy Giuliani.
Romney now has 28 percent support compared to Giuliani with 19 percent and John McCain with 16 percent. Mike Huckabee creeps into double digits with 10 points and Fred Thompson lags with 6 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...
Election 2008: New Hampshire Republican Primary
Rasmussen Reports
New Hampshire: Romney 28% Giuliani 19% McCain 16% Friday, October 26, 2007
Mitt Romney has re-asserted his lead in the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows that Romney holds a nine-point advantage over Rudy Giuliani in the Granite State. That’s up from a three-point lead in September.
The New Hampshire poll also contains good news for John McCain and Mike Huckabee, each of whom has gained four percentage points since mid-September. McCain and Huckabee have also been gaining ground in the daily Presidential Tracking Poll which measures support on a nationwide basis. The big loser in New Hampshire this month is Fred Thompson who lost two-thirds of the support he enjoyed shortly after entering the race.
Romney now has support from 28% of Likely Primary Voters while Giuliani earns the vote from 19%. McCain at 16% and Huckabee at 10% are the only other Republicans in double digits. Thompson attracts just 6% of the vote and is trailed by Tom Tancredo (3%), Ron Paul (2%), and Duncan Hunter (2%). Fourteen percent (14%) remain undecided.
Romney is also ahead in Iowa where Fred Thompson and Mike Huckabee are in a virtual tie for second. In Iowa, six-out—ten voters said they might change their mind before the caucus and vote for someone else. The current New Hampshire poll finds that roughly half of the potential voters for this first-in-the-nation primary are open to changing their mind.
Giuliani is viewed favorably by 77% of Likely Primary voters, Romney by 75%. Positive reviews for McCain come from 69% while only 51% say the same about Thompson. Forty-five percent (45%) have a positive impression of Huckabee who remains an unknown to 19% of the state’s voters.
Thompson has accomplished something once thought impossible—he now has higher negative ratings among Republican Primary Voters than McCain. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of those likely to vote in New Hampshire’s primary have an unfavorable opinion of the former Tennessee Senator.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of the state’s GOP Primary Voters say that Republicans are likely to win the White House in 2008.
Sixty-five percent (65%) believe U.S. troops should remain in Iraq until the mission is complete.
Forty-six percent (46%) say the nation’s best days are still to come. Thirty-six percent (36%) say they have come and gone.
Nationally, the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination is wide open and getting more competitive by the day.
New Hampshire Toplines - October 24, 2007 - Rasmussen
New Hampshire Republican Primary
Survey of 733 Likely Voters
October 23, 2007
1* New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary
Candidate
Mitt Romney
28%
Rudy Giuliani
19%
John McCain
16%
Mike Huckabee
10%
Fred Thompson
6%
Ron Paul
3%
Duncan Hunter
2%
Tom Tancredo
2%
Not sure
14%
2* Favorables for Presidential Candidates
Giuliani
Thompson
Romney
McCain
Huckabee
Very Favorable
30%
15%
36%
27%
18%
Somewhat Favorable
47%
36%
39%
42%
27%
Somewhat Unfavorable
13%
29%
10%
19%
24%
Very Unfavorable
9%
9%
12%
9%
11%
Not sure
2%
10%
2%
2%
19%
3* When it comes to the War in Iraq, should the United States withdraw all combat troops
immediately, bring the combat troops home within a year, or stay until the mission is
completed?
8% Withdraw all combat troops immediately
24% Bring combat troops home within a year
65% Stay until the mission is complete
3% Not sure
4* Generally speaking, are America’s best days in the future or in the past?
46% Future
36% Past
18% Not sure
5* Which political party is most likely to win the 2008 Presidential Election?
55% Democratic
25% Republican
20% Not sure
NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
• Send FReep Mail to Unmarked Package to get [ON] or [OFF] the Mitt Romney Ping List •
5* Which political party is most likely to win the 2008 Presidential Election?
55% Democratic
25% Republican
20% Not sure
Dam. Someone needs to rally the troops.
Wow. Thompson sure takes a nose dive...
Mitt can and will.
Romney and Hillary seem to be advertising the most on TV and via mail. One of Hillary’s ads came on TV and shrieking voice caught me by surprise. I am not joking, her voice was loud.
LLS
Why isn’t L. Ron catching fire in NH, a supposedly libertarian bastion?
Isn’t it the paultard’s strategy to put everything they have into NH, and carry the Big Mo with them to victory?
Which probably wouldn’t happen anyway, given McCain’s and Buchanan’s examples.
First thing I see is that 55% of responders think the Dims will win to 25% Republican. To me, this seems to indicate that those polled are not very likely to vote in the Republican primary.
Second, 1988 was the last time the winner of New Hampshire in the Republican Primay got the nomination when there were two or more candidates with any support. I don’t believe that New Hampshire is very predictive of the rest of the country any longer.
Don’t forget to write me down. I am for mitt because of his amnesty position, good character and looks. Thompson has little kids and his lymphoma could return with the stress, I don’t think he’s all that. I love Tancredo. Huckabee and Rudy are about the same,funny but pro illegals. Hunter best ideology but i don’t think he can be president. If I am not a true conservative, oh well.
Eventually Romney’s abysmal showing in national polls is going to drag him down in the New Hampshire and Iowa polls, where he has managed to stay afloat with a $50 million ballast. (When the other candidates’ ads go up, the myth of his “electability” will be exposed for all to see, causing him to crumble in those states as well.)
Seriously, he is in 5th place in Rasmussen BEHIND HUCKABEE (LOL), after spending over $50 million. Memo to Mitt: The voters aren’t buying what you’re selling. People are not going to trudge in freezing weather and knee deep snow to vote for an also-ran, even a wealthy one.
just a long as he’s not growing wead.
Seriously, he is in 5th place in Rasmussen BEHIND HUCKABEE (LOL)
One single poll (Rasmussen) taken yesterday isn't the only indicator of where Romney stands in the national polls.
There are other polls and also trends to watch. Until a few days ago, Romney, McCain, and Huckabee were really the only candidates moving up in national polls. Romney's had a bit of a hiccup, but should recover. He dug himself out of the hole that Thompson dug for him when he announced and has only lost a little of that ground.
Thompson, on the other hand, is taking a beating in the national polls, dropping from his announcement high to lower than his pre-announcement highs. He's not only lost his announcement bounce, but has lost even some of his pre-announcement ground. He just started campaigning and running TV and radio ads and attending debates and he's actually lower than when he started all of that. Giuliani has also been taking a major beating.
New Hampsire, Massachusetts, Vermont...
those almost GOP-free states seem like Romney’s natural constituency.
This little skirmish with the anti-mormon kooks has given me an idea. George W. Bush’s success has been prepared for by prayer teams who daily hold up the Presidency and this nation. We need to do as much and more for Mitt.
You guys can help. Please encourage your local Romney field manager to compile a list of local Ministers who have felt led in their spirit to help Mitt. If they have not can you start on such a list?
I would like to organize a prayer Breakfast on behalf of Mitt and invite local leaders of faith, it should be ecumenical, and, if possible, include Hindus and Islamists, if they should be led by a prompting of their inner voice to come.
A series of these prayer events would be the precursor to a national prayer breakfast led by Gov. Romney via satellite simulcast. New communications tools available from Google and youtube make such events cheaper and easier than ever before. In my judgment, only the Romney Team has the combination of vision, talent, and resources to make such an event possible.
I am not ashamed of my faith, and I am not ashamed to ask you to help get this going. Remember, this is a National campaign, but all politics is local.
I earnestly believe that Mitt is a compelling leader that will attract individuals of all faiths in a common goal to unite and make fast our prosperity and our union.
If I could only share with you all the specific times that praying for George Bush and this Nation during these recent years of strife, has blessed me and my family beyond measure, you would not have the time to do any thing else for weeks. But this is not our challenge, our challenge is the future. Our challenge is the next eight years.
I cannot emphasize to you strongly enough that while the fate of Governor Romney is the focus of my prayers, it is not for him that I pray, but for my nation.
It is so amazing to me that a candidate of Mitt’s qualities, his poise, his executive abilities, his proven track record, his wealth, would lay all of these things down, and literally put his life and his family lives and fortune on the line for the sake of this nation. It so greatly pains me to say this, but this campaign trail has the stench of a suicide mission, not just for Mitt but every candidate. We are soon to enter a phase of the campaign process in which metal detectors and limited access will be necessary. That is why these personal events are so crucial now, and the use of these personal events to establish a pattern of televised meetings that are genuine and warm when personal contact is impossible.
And as amazing as this is, it is more amazing that our country is in such a fragmented and selfish place that such a man as Mitt is not readily embraced. The complaint that I hear is that, “he is too perfect.” Mitt is a man, he to, is imperfect and flawed, only spiritual energy can perfect his flaws, hold evil in abeyance, awaken this Nation to his fitness to unite us, and lead us.
LLS
“Thompson, on the other hand, is taking a beating in the national polls, dropping from his announcement high to lower than his pre-announcement highs.”
Horsefeathers!!!
www.rasmussenreports.com
3 day running poll... top tier polster.
“Rudy Giuliani remains precariously atop the pack with support from 20% of Likely Republican Primary Voters nationwide. Fred Thompson is close behind at 19% while John McCain enjoys a second straight day in third place with 14% of the vote.”
LLS
I am making a list of FReepers that are backing liberals and a kook. When this election is over and they are claiming to be staunch Conservatives... I am going to share some historic FR links with some of them.
I was hoping someone was doing that.
LLS
This cannot be true. Fredsters confirmed few days ago that Romney is losing ground in Iowa and NH. And we know they never lie /sarc
First caucus/primary is in 2.5 months and Romney has massive lead in Iowa and NH. If he wins both, the race is over. Rudy cannot survive two defeats. Fred is regional candidate, tied with Guliani in traditionally liberal SC and hopeless elsewhere and McAmnesty has no chances because of amnesty.
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