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The Absolute Poker Cheating Scandal Blown Wide Open
NY Times Freakonomics Blog ^ | 10/17/2007 | Steven D. Levitt

Posted on 10/18/2007 6:58:11 AM PDT by philsfan24

A few weeks back I blogged about allegations of cheating at an online poker site called Absolute Poker. While things looked awfully suspicious, there wasn’t quite a smoking gun, and it was unclear exactly how the cheater might have cheated.

A combination of some incredible detective work by some poker players and an accidental (?) data leak by Absolute Poker have blown the scandal wide open.

Some opponents became suspicious of how a certain player was playing. He seemed to know what the opponents’ hole cards were. The suspicious players provided examples of these hands, which were so outrageous that virtually all serious poker players were convinced that cheating had occurred. One of the players who’d been cheated requested that Absolute Poker provide hand histories from the tournament (which is standard practice for online sites). In this case, Absolute Poker “accidentally” did not send the usual hand histories, but instead sent a file that contained all sorts of private information that the poker site would never release. The file contained every player’s hole cards, observations of the tables, and even the IP addresses of every person playing.

Then the poker players went to work analyzing the data — not the hand histories themselves, but other, more subtle information contained in the file. What these players-turned-detectives noticed was that, starting with the third hand of the tournament, there was an observer who watched every subsequent hand played by the cheater. Interestingly, the cheater folded the first two hands before this observer showed up, then did not fold a single hand before the flop for the next 20 minutes, and then folded his hand pre-flop when another player had a pair of kings as hole cards! This sort of cheating went on throughout the tournament.

(Excerpt) Read more at freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: absolute; online; poker; scandal
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"So the poker detectives turned their attention to this observer. They traced the observer’s IP address and account name to the same set of servers that host Absolute Poker, and also, apparently, to a particular individual named Scott Tom, who seems to be a part-owner of Absolute Poker! If all of this is correct, it shows exactly how the cheating would have transpired: an insider at the Web site had real-time access to all of the hole cards (it is not hard to believe that this capability would exist) and was relaying this information to an outside accomplice.

If this is all true, I presume that the two cheaters are looking at potential prison time. I would also guess that if Absolute Poker continues to argue that nothing out of the ordinary happened, they will take an enormous hit to their profits. Online poker is a game of trust — players send their money to a site believing that they will be playing a fair game, and trusting that the site will send them their winnings. If there is even a little bit of uncertainty about either one of those factors, there is no good reason for a player to choose that site over the many close substitutes that exist. If I ran Absolute Poker, I would take a lesson from past corporate attempts at cover ups, sacrifice the cheaters, and institute safeguards to prevent this ever happening again."

The detail account of the story is here (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=12523924&page=0&fpart=1&vc=1) at 2+2 Poker Forum

1 posted on 10/18/2007 6:58:14 AM PDT by philsfan24
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To: frogjerk

ping


2 posted on 10/18/2007 6:58:39 AM PDT by philsfan24
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To: frogjerk

PING!

PING!


3 posted on 10/18/2007 6:59:28 AM PDT by SubGeniusX (The People have UNENUMERATED RIGHTS ... the Govt. does NOT have UNENUMERATED POWERS)
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To: philsfan24

Cheating on an online poker site? I’m shocked, just shocked!


4 posted on 10/18/2007 7:01:08 AM PDT by dfwgator (The University of Florida - Still Championship U)
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To: philsfan24

And there are STILL some people that wonder why the liberal socialists are IN FAVOR OF ON-LINE VOTING.....who is kidding who???


5 posted on 10/18/2007 7:01:47 AM PDT by EagleUSA (W)
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To: Apple Blossom

ping


6 posted on 10/18/2007 7:02:58 AM PDT by bmwcyle (BOMB, BOMB, BOMB,.......BOMB, BOMB IRAN)
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To: philsfan24

This is no good...


7 posted on 10/18/2007 7:07:07 AM PDT by SubGeniusX (The People have UNENUMERATED RIGHTS ... the Govt. does NOT have UNENUMERATED POWERS)
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To: dfwgator

There’s lots of cheating that goes on...Think of this.. group of people enter one table. They’re on the phone..they talk to each other so everyone know what each other has. The odds are they are going to win the majority of the time. They take the money and split it. This is the most common form of cheating on online poker sites.

The best bet if you want to play is just play the low betting tables, or just practice. You’re a fool if you play the higher end tables.


8 posted on 10/18/2007 7:07:59 AM PDT by Hildy ("man's reach exceeds his grasp"? It's a lie: man's grasp exceeds his nerve.)
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To: philsfan24

What?! Gambling is just a scam to sucker people out of their money?! Nobody could’ve guessed that!!


9 posted on 10/18/2007 7:10:22 AM PDT by Excuse_My_Bellicosity (Oh, the huge manatee!!!)
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To: bmwcyle
If you gamble on-line you are a total idiot.

If you gamble at a casino {as I occasionally do} you are only recreationally retarded.

I've gambled for over 50 years, and in the long run, you cannot win. You can have fun, and you may win on occasion, but who do you think pays for the casinos?

10 posted on 10/18/2007 7:10:54 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages - In Honor of Standing Wolf)
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To: USS Alaska
You can have fun, and you may win on occasion, but who do you think pays for the casinos?

The people playing games of chance where the house has a distinct advantage that over time can not be overcome?

11 posted on 10/18/2007 7:12:05 AM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: USS Alaska

No, I like to watch it on TV.


12 posted on 10/18/2007 7:14:49 AM PDT by bmwcyle (BOMB, BOMB, BOMB,.......BOMB, BOMB IRAN)
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To: EagleUSA

“And there are STILL some people that wonder why the liberal socialists are IN FAVOR OF ON-LINE VOTING.....who is kidding who???”

Online voting could be fine, just as could electronic voting machine voting, if implemented properly (the electronic machines are also a problem now). There needs to be a public database where:

1) Every person can check their own vote as recorded, via an ‘anonymous token’ assigned when you vote (given via a slip of paper or a printable web page, ie you’re voter e5hv820802a622kl332)

2) any entity can download the entire database of votes and tally them, to double check the ‘official’ results.

Of course, some form of ID would need to be required to vote (DL number or equivalent - fewer dead and duplicate voters). All software should be open source so it can be checked transparently for backdoors or malicious code, and built and run by anyone.


13 posted on 10/18/2007 7:15:11 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
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To: USS Alaska
I've gambled for over 50 years, and in the long run, you cannot win. You can have fun, and you may win on occasion, but who do you think pays for the casinos?

It is very easy to win at online poker. I doubled my initial stake at PartyPoker playing in the small stakes games. This was before the politicians saved me from myself with the port security bill. You do need to win more often than average to make money because the online casino takes a small cut from the winner's pot.

14 posted on 10/18/2007 7:17:31 AM PDT by Minipax
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To: philsfan24

I presume that the two cheaters are looking at potential prison time.”

Commenters at the site are saying, who is going to prosecute the cheaters? The Chilean Govt.?

At a $1000.00 a seat buy in, I imagine someone will be interested in having a chat with the cheaters.


15 posted on 10/18/2007 7:17:53 AM PDT by philetus (Keep doing what you always do and you'll keep getting what you always get.)
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To: philsfan24

I love to play Poker of all sorts.

I would never even for an instant consider playing cards with people that I do not already know.


16 posted on 10/18/2007 7:20:14 AM PDT by Radix (When I became a man, I put away childish things)
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To: USS Alaska
If you gamble on-line you are a total idiot.
If you gamble at a casino {as I occasionally do} you are only recreationally retarded.

Far better to just go to Vegas, drink, and flirt with the cocktail waitresses. Much more fun, and your chances are about the same.

17 posted on 10/18/2007 7:21:14 AM PDT by 1rudeboy
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To: PreciousLiberty

There was nothing wrong with paper ballots. When 10 % of the population has their ballot filled out for them, or is functionally illiterate, or votes again and again with no proof of identity or citizenship, you don’t need a computer to fix an election. Just ask Bob Dornan.


18 posted on 10/18/2007 7:22:19 AM PDT by steve8714
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To: Hildy
...There’s lots of cheating that goes on...Think of this.. group of people enter one table. They’re on the phone..they talk to each other so everyone know what each other has. ...

Happens in live games also. One of the poker magazines this month has an article on collusion. Shows how players can place their chips on top of their hole cards in a certain way to let their accomplices know what they have. Interesting.

19 posted on 10/18/2007 7:30:53 AM PDT by FReepaholic (A crowded elevator smells different to a midget.)
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To: USS Alaska
I've gambled for over 50 years, and in the long run, you cannot win. You can have fun, and you may win on occasion, but who do you think pays for the casinos?

You've done it now. Stand by to be flamed by the "poker is a skill, NOT gambling, and ranks up there with brain surgery" crowd.

BTW, I agree with you completely. Unless one is the house, gambling (especially lotteries) is just a tax on folks who can't do math. It may be fun in the short run, but don't expect to win in the long run.

20 posted on 10/18/2007 7:31:00 AM PDT by Martin Tell ("It is the right, good old way you are in: keep in it.")
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