“If Rudy gets the nomination,”
Explain any scenario where Rudy gets more than 30% of the Republican delegates.
He wins them in primaries.
Nobody knows what's going to happen. That's why we have voting. By March 1, 2008 the strength of the various factions will be understood objectively in a way which is now impossible.
I live in New Hampshire, where socons are very, very weak, and so I probably tend to underestimate their clout nationally.
But soon, we'll know. Be patient.
If you are right, Rudy won't be nominated. If you are wrong, he will.
Only time will tell.