“I’m not advocating Rudy or any other candidate. I was only stating that I don’t believe a southern candidate can win in 08.”
There seems to be an assumption that Thompson would have trouble winning any states Bush lost, but also it’s just taken for granted that anyone other than Thompson would hold all states Bush won. A very shaky assumption, even more shaky if Rudy is the nominee.
Since the strategy in Iraq has changed, the possibility of verifiable improvement in 2008 should be better than any time previous, or it just might have quited down enough to be less a problem.
“There seems to be an assumption that Thompson would have trouble winning any states Bush lost, but also it’s just taken for granted that anyone other than Thompson would hold all states Bush won. A very shaky assumption, even more shaky if Rudy is the nominee.”
Yes that could easily be the case. I only mentioned Thompson because this thread is Thompsons strategy for the south.
I don’t think Thompson needs a strategy for the south other than to get the nod and show up. I just don’t think a southerner can be elected in 08. Dems have the same problem with Edwards if he gets the nod.
I live in Texas, but I travel a lot. Midwest, east coast and west coast. It’s my opinion that southerners are not in great favor at the moment anywhere but in the south. You can disagree with that, and maybe you’d be right, but most of the slagging on the GOP that I’ve heard has been about southerners, and I think lots of people still have it in for southern values voters, and that includes the GOP national leadership.