Sure, nothing is written in stone (remeber when Howard Dean’s nomination was a done deal?). But I see no evidence of Giuliani fading—only of conservatives WISHING he would.
Giuliani’s poll numbers have sagged since the start of this race... they’re certainly not growing. I don’t know if that’s evidence of anything.
Anyway, I’m not citing evidence. I’m just making a personal prediction that Giuliani will fade fast, after South Carolina.
I predict that sometime in the first two months of ‘08, the race is going to come down to Romney vs. Thompson. I could be wrong. That’s just my prediction.
I just don’t see Giuliani having anywhere to go but down. He has zero support among conservatives and no chance of getting any.
Romney’s support from that group is also very low, but I believe he does have a chance of winning enough conservatives to his side to be competitive against Thompson.
Giuliani has no chance of that.