Posted on 09/17/2007 11:13:01 AM PDT by dangus
The temperature of the ocean has cooled 0.2 degrees C in the past few of years, and is now only 0.1 degrees C warmer than it was throughout much of 1944. This data set had been showing a general warming trend since the late 1970s, (as well as a warming trend from the 1910s through the mid 1940s) with the warmest time being recorded in the El Nino year of 1998.
Despite temperatures peaking in 1998, it's been reasonable to describe the temperature trend as continuing, since 1998 at the time was a flukishly hot spell. Since 1998, the "normal" trend line approached what had been flukishly warm.
The reversal to cooler temperatures is not yet long or strong enough to discredit global warming completely... by a long shot. However, global warming alarmists had been warning that global warming had dramatically accelerated in the past couple decades; although ocean temperatures had risen a mere degree over the last century, the alarmists had warned of an increasing rate of warming, or even an increasing rate of an increasing rate of warming, suggesting the next century could see temperatures increase by several degrees.
Although this data is still consistent with a long, gradual trend of increasing ocean temperatures, it is not consistent with any sudden accelerations in warming trends.
My source is a data table at the NOAA, which could not be linked to directly, since it is available over file transfer protocol (FTP), not hypertext transfer protocol (HTTP). This is the link: ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/anomalies/monthly.ocean.90S.90N.df_1901-2000mean.dat It may be accessed from the bottom of the page I linked to in the source field, under "The Monthly Global Ocean Temperature Anomalies (degrees C)." My source is purely the data; the web page from which I derived it has not been updated to reflect any updated data.
I am doing my part to reduce CO2 by drinking COKE. That is all I intend, too. Put the pop; machines back in the schools. :)
They were predicting a lot more than that
I didn't want to mention it, but I've quit using toilet paper and flushing... truth be told it's a rather old habit.
I'm also going to try organic deoderant.
Interesting.
How does NOAA get their temperature readings?
The animation (link below) of the past two months shows how the current La Nina has stengthened recently. The animation also shows how variable ocean temps are over time.
The current (what was thought of as a mild) La Nina event has varied a lot since it started to appear in mid-January. But it has been very long-lasting now and appears to have stengthened considerably recently so it might eventually go down as one of the more significant La Nina events in history.
I note that the lower atmosphere temperatures from the satellites mirror these cooling ocean temps very closely. The La Nina/El Nino ocean conditions affect global temperatures more than any other weather phenomenon. And the satellite measures are the only real global temperature series we can rely on given the global warmer’s like Hansen’s propensity to just change the data whenever they think it isn’t matching up with their “models” - see ClimateAudit.org for the most recent Hansen escapade (unbelievable actually.)
http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/current/sst_anomaly_2m.html
My uncle worked for the CT DEP in air pollution control about that time period. He put forth that same theory in his internal reports.
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