Posted on 09/12/2007 6:21:55 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
It's just one week after the primary, and the race for the 5th Congressional District is shaping up to be a close one.
Here are the results of our exclusive Fast Track: If the election were held today, Democrat Niki Tsongas would pick up 51 percent of the vote, to 41 percent for Republican Jim Ogonowski.
Get complete survey results here.
Elections are all about the public mood, what's really on the minds of voters, and which candidate connects with that most effectively.
And while our survey gives the antiwar candidate the lead, it offers big-time hope for the anti-Congress candidate.
First, the good news for Niki Tsongas. She not only has that 10-point lead, but she's reaping the harvest of a yawning gender gap.
In our Fast Track survey, Ogonowski has a commanding 13 point-lead among men, who tend to skew a bit more conservative. But Tsongas holds a whopping 32-point margin among women, surely in part due to excitement over the prospect of sending our first woman to Congress in 25 years.
Make no mistake, this election will be a referendum on the presidency of George Bush, Tsongas told her supporters on primary night.
Now, the bad news for Tsongas.
Yes, voters in the 5th hold the current administration in low esteem, but they're every bit as fed up with the Democrat-controlled Congress.
(Excerpt) Read more at wbztv.com ...
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1894533/posts
The most obvious example is the distasteful treatment of Jim Ogonowski by the Democratic machine. Ogonowskis brother John was a pilot on American Flight 11, and every year since Johns death, Jim has spoken at the 9/11 ceremony on Beacon Hill.
Until this year.
This year, Ogonowski is a Republican candidate for Congress. And, completely coincidentally, he has been replaced as a speaker by, coincidentally, the Democrat hes trying to replace, Marty Meehan. Meehans wife, by sheer coincidence, is chairing Democrat Niki Tsongas campaign against Ogonowski. After the Boston Herald broke the story, Ms. Tsongas then announced that she certainly hopes he would be part of todays program.
All these know it alls might go back and read how the black Republican managed to get elected to the Senate. Mass has elected three R governors recently. Never say never.
What I most remember about Paul Tsongas, is that Al Franken did a pretty funny imitation of him on SNL.
Sigh. I know.
I’ve been trying to find a place to send the kids when/if it all falls apart, but I don’t know where to set up two well educated middle class white people.
America will not be a great place for them in 20 more years, assuming that the present course continues.
I’ll stay and fight on right here, but nowhere would want me anyway.
We would be an Islamo-Communist 3rd world hellhole and so would Australia without a strong U.S. We keep getting pushed closer and closer to the brink of revolution.
Now Franken thinks he’s gonna do a funny imitation of him in the Senate.
The widow Tsongas is “the daughter of an Air Force colonel stationed at the Pentagon.”
1. Edward Brooke (the "black Republican") was last elected in 1972. That's not exactly recent.
2. In the Senate, Edward Brooke was so far to the left (incidentally he's alive and living in Virginia) he made Lincoln Chafee look like the second coming of Strom Thurmond. He was more anti-Nixon than just every Democrat in the Senate, Ted Kennedy included. Maybe not the best example of GOP strength in MA.
If I recall correctly, last time Kerry ran for the Senate the Boston Globe insisted he was running “unopposed”, yet his opponent got 20% of the vote.
We must stop Massachusetts from spreading.
Just an FYI, Edward Brooke, the black Republican Senator, had one of the most liberal voting records of any US Senator ever. In 1974, for example, Brooke had an ACU rating of 13, the same rating as Walter Mondale. That same year George McGovern, generally considered the most left-wing candidate ever nominated by a major party for President, received an ACU rating of 19. If the best Massachusetts has done in the last 40 years is elect a GOP Senator to the left of George McGovern, then that’s mighty sorry indeed.
Can’t find the video of Franken imitating Tsongas, but here’s bit of dialog:
In a Saturday Night Live skit in which Presidential candidates of The Democratic Party addressed a Star Trek Convention, Rep. Paul Tsongas (portrayed by Al Franken) said, “Santa Claus is NOT a leader, Captain Kirk IS a leader. I don’t want to be Santa Claus, I want to be Captain Kirk.”
http://www.geocities.com/phineasbg/krkbest.html
MA is more liberal than Australia. I said that if all the USA was like MA then i would move.
It is nearly impossible to own guns in MA and most recently backyard fires were banned statewide, that is how wacko left MA is. Rural Asutralia has got to be more conservative.
Ogonowski is the brother of John Ogonowski, the pilot of AA Flight 11 that flew into the WTC on 9/11. He is a model conservative and material for much higher office.
That is not the moral of the story. He conducted an irregular, grassroots campaign which defied the established machine. As Rush might say, he went against conventional wisdom. So did the Dems last year. Anyone who thinks he has everything all figured out is just waiting to be knocked off his smugness. What litle I have heard about Deval Patrick makes him sound like a living, breathing reminder against voting Democrat.
I told ya he would get at least 40%.
There was a lot of anger at Tsongas from the political left for having defeated Brooke in ‘78. Tsongas was perceived as being more Conservative.
Maybe he’ll pull off a miracle. He’ll get 41%. ;-)
The Democrats truly in control of everything important starting in January ‘09 would definitely create a socialistic country for the long-term. Democratic legislation which both creates amnesty for illegal immigrants “to the max” and forever allows illegals here to register to vote throughout the U.S. would do more than enough to truly make sure that the Democrats never lose their political majorities for the long-term!
It's an off year, therefor turn out will be low.
Certainly there are enough GOPers out there to make the difference in a low turnout race. Now, if he could hold it in 2008, is a different story.
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