I agree that the independent would probably be hurt worse since they own their own rigs, but would the union boys be hurt too? I don’t understand why not.
I will add that I don’t think this early situation will remain static. I think full access would come in a few years, if that long.
Most of the Union jobs I believe are point to point routes rather than true cross country driving. IOW they usually aren't the ones to do east to west coast turnarounds. They will drive say from Chicago to Nashville then hit a room for 8 hours then a truck back to Chicago afterward. The trailers don't have sleepers on them. This may well get nasty though real soon as Independents can get mad also. Some of the nastiest strikes are by truckers.