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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER [Now T.S. Felix]
NOAA.GOV ^ | 08/31/07

Posted on 08/31/2007 1:54:54 PM PDT by Sub-Driver

000 WTNT31 KNHC 312046 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 500 PM AST FRI AUG 31 2007

...YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES AND ARUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE AND CURACAO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF VENEZUELA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM CUMANA TO PEDERNALES INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF MARGARITA.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY SPREAD OVER ST. LUCIA OVERNIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...295 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...COASTAL VENEZUELA INCLUDING OFFSHORE ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE NETHERLAND ANTILLES OF ARUBA...BONAIRE AND CURACAO.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...11.8 N...58.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST.

$$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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1 posted on 08/31/2007 1:54:56 PM PDT by Sub-Driver
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To: Sub-Driver

Damn, another man made disaster...

Brad, can you ever forgive us...


2 posted on 08/31/2007 1:55:55 PM PDT by DoughtyOne ((Victory will never be achieved while defining Conservatism downward, and forsaking its heritage.))
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To: Sub-Driver

You’re full of good news ain’t ya!

;-)


3 posted on 08/31/2007 1:57:18 PM PDT by stevie_d_64 (Houston Area Texans (I've always been hated))
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To: Sub-Driver

Ed Mahmoud, is that you?


4 posted on 08/31/2007 1:58:15 PM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (Want authentic 1st century Christianity? Visit a local, New Testament Independent Baptist church!)
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To: Sub-Driver

Number Six ? Be seeing you.

5 posted on 08/31/2007 1:59:26 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: stevie_d_64

Karl Rove is behind it....Shhhhhh.


6 posted on 08/31/2007 2:01:52 PM PDT by Sub-Driver (Proud member of the Republican wing of the Republican Party)
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To: Sub-Driver
Projected Path
7 posted on 08/31/2007 2:08:52 PM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An American Patriot and an anti-Islam kind of fellow. (POI))
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To: Sub-Driver

Did you really think Rove would leave office with out spinning up something special for us?


8 posted on 08/31/2007 2:18:06 PM PDT by montanus
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To: Sub-Driver

Did you really think Rove would leave office with out spinning up something special for us?


9 posted on 08/31/2007 2:18:08 PM PDT by montanus
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To: Sub-Driver

It’s DOOOOMAGE!!!!


10 posted on 08/31/2007 2:26:54 PM PDT by The Iceman Cometh (Democrats In Control! (Where's my friggin' free stuff?))
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To: Sub-Driver
A readable version (are these guys still using Teletype machines?):



000 WTNT31 KNHC 312046 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 500 PM AST FRI AUG 31 2007

...yet another tropical depression forms east of the Windward Islands...

At 5 pm AST...2100 UTC...the government of Barbados has issued a tropical storm warning for the islands of St. Vincent and the grenadines. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

At 5 pm AST...the government of Trinidad and Tobago has issued a tropical storm warning for Tobago and the meteorological service of Trinidad and Tobago has issued a tropical storm warning for Grenada and its dependencies.

At 5 pm AST...the government of the Netherlands Antilles and Aruba has issued a tropical storm watch for the islands of Aruba...Bonaire and Curacao. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

At 5 pm AST...the government of Venezuela has issued a tropical storm watch for the northern coast of Venezuela from Cumana to Pedernales including the island of margarita.

Tropical storm conditions may spread over St. Lucia overnight.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 500 pm AST...2100z...the center of the newly formed tropical depression six was located near latitude 11.8 north...longitude 58.6 west or about 180 miles...295 km...East-Southeast of the Windward Islands.

The depression is moving toward the west near 16 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track...the depression will be passing through the Windward Islands overnight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm on Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations and an air force reserve hurricane hunter is 1008 mb...29.77 inches.

Total rain accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are possible across the Windward Islands...coastal Venezuela including offshore islands...as well as the Netherland Antilles of Aruba...Bonaire and Curacao.

Repeating the 500 pm AST position...11.8 n...58.6 w. Movement toward...west near 16 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph. Minimum central pressure...1008 mb. An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 800 pm AST followed by the next complete advisory at 1100 pm AST.

$$ forecaster Blake/Avila
11 posted on 08/31/2007 2:52:34 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA; NautiNurse

Surfs Up - well, it will be in a few days.

TD SIX has formed.

Looks to track pretty much along where Dean went - so far.


12 posted on 08/31/2007 3:21:51 PM PDT by PeteB570 (Keeping and eye on the Frying Pan Shoals Buoys)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

I will spare the ping list from having to read the dreadful all caps at the top of the thread...but thanks for posting a legible version.


13 posted on 08/31/2007 3:46:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse
You’re welcome. The all-caps thing is a bit of a hobby-horse of mine.

Changing was just a matter of reformatting in Word (along with a few tweaks) — but, I’ll never know why government emergency organizations (everywhere, it seems) persist in using all-caps. It’s not as if we’re still in the Teletype era. My guess is that it’s a combination of tradition; and the belief that all-caps looks “official” and “urgent”.

14 posted on 08/31/2007 4:00:49 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
Even easier than the MS Word conversion...Wunderground has it already converted into sentence case. Even better, they typically post the public advisory updates 15-20 minutes before the NHC site posts the ALL CAPS version. Wunderground is the best $10 I spend all year for no ads and great local radar loops. I can plan outdoor activities to the minute by their radar.
15 posted on 08/31/2007 4:20:08 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
I’ll never know why government emergency organizations (everywhere, it seems) persist in using all-caps

Morse code and telegraph do not do lower case. So now you know.

16 posted on 08/31/2007 4:22:43 PM PDT by Tarpon
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To: PeteB570
Looks to track pretty much along where Dean went - so far.

That's what happens when your Director of Hurricane Steering resigns and leaves the machine on.

17 posted on 08/31/2007 4:31:57 PM PDT by Sender (A noble spirit embiggens the smallest man.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the tip — it looks like a good site. If they can do it, why can’t the NHC?


18 posted on 08/31/2007 4:33:53 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: Sender
That's what happens when your Director of Hurricane Steering resigns and leaves the machine on.

LOL

19 posted on 08/31/2007 4:35:26 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

As long as the NHC uses ALL CAPS—folks like me will avoid their site. Keeps down internet traffic.


20 posted on 08/31/2007 4:36:43 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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