I’ve been saying for a while, that he won’t declare until after Summer is over, people aren’t mentally and physically back from Summer vacations, the kids are back in school, etc. No point in declaring when your key voter base isn’t paying attention.
Some time shortly after Labor Day.
Exactly. Everyone in the DC area is gone during August, trying to escape the dog-gagging heat. Even the traffic on the Beltway is light. People in government and communications media are gone, which creates a domino effect as others find they can't get much done, so they leave too. In the rest of the US some people are also on vacation, and those who aren't are shopping for school supplies. If Thompson announced tomorrow, no one would notice.