Posted on 08/23/2007 1:24:06 PM PDT by Plutarch
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
You have to go back to JFK to find the last president who wasn't either a governor or vice president.
National polls on the primaries are meaningless unless tied to the delegates earned, state by state. If Candidate X wins California by .01%, that trumps Y winning several smaller states by 100%.
Interesting. How many voted in this poll for Duncan Hunter? I did, for one. Why didn’t our votes register?
I notice this poll included both Democrats and Republicans. Who else would the Dems say they’d vote for but Rudy?
This poll is completely phony. Look at the internals. 305 registered Republican voters. 5.5% margin of error. It is effectively fishwrap.
Rasmussen, on the other hand, uses a sample of 650 likely Republican voters. It is far more accurate and has the race dead even now.
Gallup has FDT ahead 33-25 among those Republicans who have been paying attention to the race. Fox is doing all it can to elect Rudy, squandering its credibility in the process. And it isnot going to work.
Fox has not had a decent and accurate poll since Opinion Dynamics started doing their polling. Rasmussen is the most accurate.
LLS
In other words, they got the same result as Rasmussen, then reached for a bottle of Zogby’s special sauce, to get the result Dick Morris wanted.
No wonder we are constantly admonished that DH’s candidacy is going to catch fire any minute now.
That’s a pretty good analysis, methinks.
Romney better get out of third place then.
As LS said upthread, if Fred drops out or never enters (and I think that’s ultimately a likely outcome), it’s not clear all Fred supporters will go to Romney.
How is FNC “propping” Giuliani up? By reporting on him? But he is running for president, isn’t he?
I read all the anti-Rudy comments from Freepers. I believe politics is all about who is rising up to be the cream of the crap. Unadulterated idealism will get you a Hildabeast for a President. When it comes down to a head-to-head between Hillary and Rudi, I beleieve 90% of Freepers will break down and vote for Rudy. Rudy does indeed leave much to be desired as a GOP presidential candidate. Yes, he is very liberal on social issues and I don’t like it. He will, however, be a bulldog in the WOT. I won’t have any trouble sleeping at night knowing he is running the war. He will not be characterized by the “New Tone” in his relationships with the Democrats or the leftist media. They will be the ones on the defensive. He will make lots of us shout “Yeah!” when he reminds Jackasses and journalists who the boss is and what the stakes are.
As for Fred Thompson. I will vote for him in the primary and the general if he can convince me he will defeat Hillary. I’m not convinced at all so far. He was tepid as Minority Council during the Watergate hearings. He had a chance to latch on to Clinton’s butt regarding various secrets sold to the Chicoms for campaign loot. He didn’t get it done. He was with McCain on McCain-Feingold. I guess he is not gung-ho about the 1st Amendment. He was mediocre as a US Senator. Can you name any legislation he authored or was closely associated with? He has a repetitive reputation for laziness. And what’s with all this pussyfooting about getting into the race? Is he not sure he wants to run? Or is he finessing his entrance to get the biggest bang for his buck? Whatever. His image as a folksy conservative actor goes only so far with me. Can he win? For certain I never again want to see a happy pair of Clintons on election night. Too much is at stake.
They are showing the poll results in whole numbers. Therefore a candidate’s percentage of support has to reach at least the number one.
DH apparently had fewer than 1% of responders support him. So instead of expressing his support as a decimal less than one, the result was simply shown as a “ - “ -— a dash meaning “something less than 1%.”
Unfortunately, you are largely correct. Rudy is the second choice of more than anyone else by 2:1.
Without FDT in the race, it largely advantages Rudy.
Why didn’t you post the (sucky) internals of this (shabby) poll? They were right at the top of the page.
Even if Hunter out-polled them all, the the pro-ob/amnesty MSM would never let on.
Actually, I had pasted that paragraph in the field, then made some edit, and then I posted it but I think I posted the version on a previous screen without the internals. So here goes:
Polling was conducted by telephone August 21-22, 2007, in the evenings. The total sample is 900 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted. LV = likely voters Democrats n=335, ±5 percentage points; Republicans n=314, ±5.5 percentage points
Screw Fox News, I'm watching Andy, Barney, Aunt Bea and Opie!
If you go back to March McCain has lost 13% and Giuliani has lost 7%. Romney and Fred Thompson have each gained 5% and undecided has nearly doubled. By Columbus Day things should be more stable, and none too soon, since it looks like we will be voting right after Thanksgiving.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.