You've answered your own question of why I am confident that Paul won't win. BTW, many of the "frontrunner" candidates are not even bothering to show up to the Texas Straw Poll, so claiming they are spending much more on it than Paul is as bogus as most of what Paul sells you sychopaths.
Only way Paul can scare up a good crowd is to have Jimmy Vaugh (Stevie Ray's brother) give a concert at his reception.
I have to admit as much as I cannot abide Ron Paul that I could endure him for a free Jimmy Vaughn concert...that guy (JV not RP) is good!