http://www.creationists.org/switch.html
But I know it won’t matter much as you have already decided that you are correct and that anyone that disagrees with you must be stupid.
I ask what is more probable that a planet, by chance, was just the right distance from the sun and contained just the right amount of elements to sustain life or that the origins of the Universe where directed by an Intelligent Being that knew what he was doing?
I would say that the first option has about as much chance of being correct as throwing a deck of cards, one by one, off the Empire State Building and having them land in a perfect stack A,K,Q,J,10,9,8,7,6,5,4,3,2 in proper suit. Clubs, Spades, Hearts, Diamonds.
Universe where= Universe were
If decision making is predicated on a fact-based examination of available information, yes, I have decided. And I, like most others, believe that those that do not share my beliefs, while not necessarily “stupid”, are wrong.
As far as the probabilities you mentioned, I can tell you that the probability of the first scenario you mentioned (planet perfect distance, etc.) is 1. In your second case (cards thrown off the building), the probability certainly approaches 0.