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2008 Republican Presidential Primary [Thompson 27% Giuliani 24%]
Rasmussen ^ | July 3, 2007 | Rasmussen poll

Posted on 07/03/2007 6:46:34 AM PDT by RobFromGa

2008 Republican Presidential Primary Thompson 27% Giuliani 24%

After weeks of turmoil and change, the race for the Republican Presidential nomination has stabilized.

Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson remains on top in Rasmussen Reports national polling with 27% support. That’s unchanged from a week ago. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is three points behind at 24%.

Thompson has a 16-point advantage over Giuliani among conservatives while Giuliani holds an even larger edge among moderate voters. However, in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination, there are always more conservative voters than moderates.

A separate survey found that Thompson is currently viewed as the most conservative of all GOP candidates. Giuliani remains the best liked candidate. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans now have a favorable opinion of America’s Mayor. Thompson’s numbers among the GOP faithful have been moving in the opposite direction. Sixty-four percent (64%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of the actor while just 12% have an unfavorable view.

This week’s national GOP poll also finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with a one-point edge over Arizona Senator John McCain for the fourth time in six weeks. Romney and McCain were tied during the other two weeks. Now, the numbers are 13% for Romney and 12% for McCain.

Romney is viewed favorably by 58% of Republican voters while 30% have a less flattering opinion. McCain is viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 40% of Republicans.

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is atop the second tier at 3%. Six other candidates--Senator Sam Brownback, Congressman Ron Paul, Congressman Tom Tancredo, former Governor Tommy Thompson, Congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Governor Jim Gilmore—split 4% of the vote. Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure.

The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 624 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted June 25-28, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The Rasmussen Reports sample includes not only Republicans, but also independents who say they are likely to vote in a Republican Primary.

Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.

McCain’s campaign is in serious trouble. The man once considered the dominant frontrunner had struggled for months. Over the past six weeks, his fervent support for the unpopular immigration reform bill may have been the final straw that doomed his campaign. His poll numbers are now closer to Huckabee and Brownback rather than Thompson and Giuliani. Media reports say the Arizona Senator is running very low on cash and has dramatically reduced his campaign staff. Last week, the Senator himself had to deny reports that he’d be out of the race by September.

While the Senate immigration bill hurt McCain and drove President Bush’s Job Approval to new lows, the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans increased last month. That’s the first monthly increase in Republican identification this year. Democrats continue to be trusted more than Republicans on most key issues, but the GOP has regained parity on national security. Among unaffiliated voters, Republicans are preferred on both national security and immigration.

Senator Hillary Clinton is the frontrunner for the Democratic Presidential nomination. She leads both the national and New Hampshire polls.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; fredthompson; giuliani; poll; rasmussen
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma

I agree that Tancredo will become more popular. In a June 23 straw poll, in Linn Co., IA, the second-most populated county in Iowa, the winner was Tommy Thompson, with 33%. The other results were: Brownback, 30%; Tancredo, 15%; Romney, 5%; John Cox (a conservative Chicago busniessman), 4%; Paul, 3%; Fred Thompson, 3%; Gilbert, 2%; Giuliani, 2%; Hunter, 1%; Huckabee, 1%; and McCain, 0%.


21 posted on 07/03/2007 7:46:16 AM PDT by PhilCollins
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To: RobFromGa

Thanks for the poll, Rob!

Guess some folks we know will be in a very bad mood today. :)


22 posted on 07/03/2007 7:47:38 AM PDT by Columbine
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To: RobFromGa

How hard it is for everyone to pay a fixed percent. Much the same way Christians are to give 10% of their earnings in a tithe. If everyone had to pay a set percent it would be fair to everyone.


23 posted on 07/03/2007 7:55:59 AM PDT by Married with Children
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To: LEARNED FOREVER; ontap

I should have read your ENTIRE post more carefully. Please ignore my first post to you.

Thanks, ontap.


24 posted on 07/03/2007 7:56:43 AM PDT by Clara Lou (Fred Thompson, '08-- imwithfred.com. Please note: Hillary is a hag.)
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma

If Romney can’t win Iowa and New Hampshire, and do so convincingly, then he isn’t going to be viable for long.


25 posted on 07/03/2007 8:00:04 AM PDT by kevkrom ("Government is too important to leave up to the government" - Fred Dalton Thompson)
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To: Clara Lou

Thompson. I think you have mis-read my post. Lazy. Insider-outsider. Boomlet. All desciptions of Thompson from the media.


26 posted on 07/03/2007 8:00:27 AM PDT by LEARNED FOREVER
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To: Married with Children

I agree with you, but the problem with a fixed percent is that we have almost 50% of the people paying close to nothing now, and they all get the same vote as the 50% that are footing the entire bill. Actually the top 10% are footing more than half the bill.

So, any tax plan has to buy off the lower income, non-tax-paying folks. The FairTax does this by putting every American man, woman and child on the monthly dole with a shiny government check every month whether they purchase any taxable goods or not. EVERY AMERICAN on the dole.

And of course future politicians would use that socialist monthly check to social engineer and buy future votes. But FairTaxers would have you believe that in the world after the FairTax politicians will no longer be politicians. Yet another FairTax fraud.


27 posted on 07/03/2007 8:03:05 AM PDT by RobFromGa (FDT/TBD in 2008!)
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To: RobFromGa

You are exactly right! In the past when bills to give tax cuts were put forth the democrats argued that since some people paid no taxes they would be cheated out of a tax cut. Stupidity knows no bounds. Give a politician the right to hand out public funds and you can rest assure he’ll find a way to buy votes.


28 posted on 07/03/2007 8:08:08 AM PDT by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: RobFromGa

What are the chances that Fred would choose Rudy as his running mate?


29 posted on 07/03/2007 8:09:11 AM PDT by airborne (COULTER: Actually, my favorite candidate is [Rep.] Duncan Hunter [R-CA], and he is magnificent.)
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To: ontap
The Ron Paul supporters who were championing his 2% as the beginnings of a blowout will be here shortly to tell us that at this stage polls don’t mean a thing!

When your guy says "The only poll that counts is the one on election day" you know its time to start drinking heavily.

30 posted on 07/03/2007 8:10:34 AM PDT by Mad_as_heck (The MSM - America's (domestic) public enemy #1.)
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To: Mad_as_heck

LOL! Good one.


31 posted on 07/03/2007 8:11:58 AM PDT by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: LEARNED FOREVER
Avoid misunderstandings. Stick a “/s” (end sarcasm) tag at the end of your post.

As in:

Fred is leading Rootie? I’m sure the LSM will jump all over this with both feet. /s

See how easy that is?

32 posted on 07/03/2007 8:13:46 AM PDT by upchuck (If you don't have borders, you won't have a nation ~ Mark Steyn)
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To: ontap

Absolutely.

It will take a constitutional inalienable right, not a pandering politician, to protect the wealth and property of citizens.

But none to-date have the courage or the foresight.

Not even the founding fathers could have imagined the massive loophole of taxation at the whim of every dimwit at every level of government.


33 posted on 07/03/2007 8:16:35 AM PDT by Stallone (THE FENCE - Build it, and they won't come)
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To: upchuck

I don’t see any sarcasm in his post!


34 posted on 07/03/2007 8:17:42 AM PDT by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: Stallone

There is no end to the miss use of public funds. I have long ago given up on controlling it. I now try as hard as I can to try and get my part. I am not particularly proud of that stance but I don’t know any other way to level the field. I am more than willing to give up any benefits I might be enjoying if anyone can bring and end to it.


35 posted on 07/03/2007 8:24:30 AM PDT by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: RobFromGa

If there was a set tax then the Govt. would have to learn to live on a budget and cut out some (a lot) of this B.S. spending but that will never happen so I guess it’ll never work.


36 posted on 07/03/2007 8:40:34 AM PDT by Married with Children
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To: airborne
What are the chances that Fred would choose Rudy as his running mate?

I hope absolutely zero. I want to be able to vote for Fred if he wins the nomination.

37 posted on 07/03/2007 8:42:48 AM PDT by Ingtar (...right wing conservatives are growing tired of crawling on bloody stumps looking for scraps - JRob)
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To: LEARNED FOREVER; Clara Lou; upchuck

Welcome to FreeRepublic, LF!

You’re not in Kansas anymore! ;^)


38 posted on 07/03/2007 8:48:29 AM PDT by airborne (COULTER: Actually, my favorite candidate is [Rep.] Duncan Hunter [R-CA], and he is magnificent.)
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To: upchuck

“I’m sure the LSM will jump all over this with both feet.”

Well, the NYTimes has been running hit pieces on Thompson.

Does that count?


39 posted on 07/03/2007 8:56:01 AM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Kol Hakavod Fred Thompson)
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To: Ingtar

Oh, Rudy would be a terrible president, but he’d be a great VP -— yeah one heart beat and all that -— but that’s happened, what twice?

He’s a fiscal conservative and strong on defense.

Keep him away from judge appointments and social issues, and he’d be fine.


40 posted on 07/03/2007 8:57:45 AM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Kol Hakavod Fred Thompson)
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