You just proved me correct with my doubt of the 40% number. I appreciate the well thought out response and facts. I’m actually very willing to bet that I can do quite well spotting the average violent felon. I don’t buy that it is the clean cut kid behind me at church or at the grocercy store, though I do understand that all violent felons don’t look like violent felons.
Because I was off by 5.5%? Because when you stack up the percentages against the real numbers it's not that big a difference. It's also regional. The national averages take into account fairly low crime states (in terms of street crime) like Vermont versus ultra high crime areas like Chicago.
A habitual violent offender will stick out in church but not in a generalized crowd like say going to the county fair. Also, felons aren't necessarily violent deranged halfwits. I had a married couple who both were age 65+ guilty of Food Stamp Fraud. Big $$$ believe it or not. She was slowly wasting away from Leukemia, so her probation was a death sentence. He wasn't much better off. They were white and went to church...actually worked at a church. You'd never know. The truly psychotic are certainly "spottable" but you'd be amazed at the number of sheep who are totally unaware of their surroundings....unaware that they're being actively hunted until it's waaaay too late. Me? I'm a sheepdog and I only hang with sheepdogs: SHEEPDOGS