Davis represents a move to the LEFT, as he is more Socially liberal than Warner. If Davis gets the nomination, we will lose this seat if Mark is the Dem nominee. Conservatives will either not vote or a 3rd party candidate will arise (and we all know what happened in 1994 when the RINOs refused to get on board with Col. North).
Tom Davis, to his credit, has tried to reach out to cosnervatives. They grudgingly supported his reelection bids, and appreciate his work with the NRCC during the 1990’s.
The big question is whether this will be enough to get their support for a U.S. Senate bid, which is a much bigger task.