Posted on 06/20/2007 1:23:52 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
China sells more US T-bonds
By Shangguan Zhoudong (chinadaily.com.cn)
Updated: 2007-06-19 15:23
China sold more US treasury bonds in April than any time in at least seven years, a signal that the nation may be diversifying the world's largest foreign-exchange reserves, Shanghai Securities News reported today.
Statistics from the US Treasury Department show that China sold a net US$5.8 billion of T-bonds, the first drop in holdings since October 2005. Japan remains the largest holder of US T-bonds, with its holdings reaching US$614.8 billion in April, according to the statistics.
China remained the second-largest holder of US T-bonds, as its stake fell to US$414.0 billion in April from US$419.8 billion in March this year. The United States had US$4.4 trillion of tradable bonds in April.
As an effort to diversify its forex investment channels, China also established a new specialized foreign exchange investment company named the State Investment Company to focus on investing in high-return bonds, stock markets, real estate and private equities. Analysts estimate the company may start with US$200 billion in capital.
"China's newly-added forex reserves through trade surplus are enough to make high-yield investments, and China may not and need not to use the US$1.2 trillion forex reserves," said Sun Mingchun, an economist with Lehman Brothers. "China won't sell a large amount of US T-bonds even if it wants to sell."
Marc Chandler, Chief Currency Strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co, said that there's no clear sign Chinese investors are going to dump US T-bonds, noting that Chinese officials have said they have no intention of doing anything that would devalue their holdings.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke have repeatedly played down concern of a sell-off in T-bond holdings by foreign investors. Paulson noted again this week that China's holdings amount to about one day's worth of trading in the T-bond market.
Greg Anderson, director of currency strategy at ABN Amro Bank NV, said he was unconcerned about the decline in China's holdings of US T-bonds because the country is still buying US assets, providing support for the dollar.
Statistics from the Treasury Department also show that global investors in April this year sold a net US$28.2 billion of bonds, with their holdings down to US$2.17 trillion from US$2.19 trillion at the end of March.
To attract more investments in US dollar assets, Treasury deputy secretary Robert Kimmitt plans to lobby China and Russia to keep investing in the US on his trips to Moscow and Beijing next week. He said he plans a similar message on upcoming visits to Japan, South Korea and the Middle East.
Ping!
Why does this have the feel of desperation?
I’d guess that the Chicoms are dumping USD to quietly buy up the gold the Swiss dumped on the market this week. We’ll see another big dump of USD this month.
Why do we care that China is not holding our paper? I think anything that disconnects us from China is a good thing, but I admit I know nothing about this kind of money chase...What would cause those that do know concern?
Ping.
ping
Maybe...but it isn't the Chinese who feel desperate as a result of these sales. Look for Bernanke to print a few billion more dollars. ;)
Well, I think it is a good thing for China to be heavily invested in the US as it gives them good incentive to protect their investment.
Too many dollars chasing too few goods... and you get inflation. Hmmmmm
- So, what effect does this have on the US? We still owe the money to whomever may own the bond at the time of maturity, right? -
A massive dumping of T bills into the market would cause the price of bonds to fall (supply and demand), resulting in the US having to offer bonds at a higher yield to attract investors, which could result in higher interest rates and push the economy into recession, as well as increasing the federal budget deficit.
Exactly.
Why do we care that China is not holding our paper?
They still get dollars when they sell the bonds. They can either invest them in other American securities or buy American goods.
Why? :^)
Well, it’s his default response to every minor fluctuation. ;)
To buy back the worthless paper, you idiot!!
And the return of CD’s offering 10%? There’s always a bull market somewhere...
True; and the return of 16% mortgages. There’s always a bear market somewhere. :-)
True and true :)
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