Don’t be so sure.
Methinks about 40% vote democrat no matter what.
Also, a third party candidate doesn’t have to compete in many states to be a spoiler.
If Guiliani is able to take 15% of the (r) vote in Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio it would be Hello Hillary.
But I don't see votes that would have gone to Fred going to Rudy. If anything, I think some 'moderate' Democrats, who didn't want to vote for Fred because they're so against the Republican party, but didn't like Hillary because she's such a harridan, might just look at Rudy and see Democrat lite, and vote for him. Also, I just have the feeling that Fred will bring folks to the polls who haven't been there in years, thus increasing the total number of votes overall, thus decreasing the percentages for any other candidates.