Posted on 06/09/2007 10:48:15 AM PDT by John Cena
In an Election 2008 match-up of the early frontrunners, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads New York Senator Hillary Clinton 47% to 44%. Last month, the two New York politicians were tied 45% to 45%.
Clinton has consistently been competitive with Giuliani, but has typically trailed the Mayor by a few percentage points throughout the early polling on the race. A poll released earlier this week showed Giuliani has opened a double-digit lead over Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D). Clinton and Obama had been number one and two in the polls among those seeking the Democratic Presidential nomination.
The number three Democrat in the polls has consistently performed better than Clinton and Obama in general election match-ups. Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards currently has a two-point advantage over Giuliani.
Another Republican hopeful, Arizona Senator John McCain, leads Clinton by six points-- behind Senator John McCain in the new survey. A month ago, McCain's lead over Clinton was four percentage points, 48% to 44%.
McCain has recently encountered significant turbulence in his campaign as championed an immigration bill that was far more popular in Congress than among the American people. Nationally, he is viewed favorably by 51% of voters.
That puts him in the same territory as Clinton. The former First Lady is viewed favorably by 47% of likely voters and unfavorably by 51%. Largely because she has been very prominent on the national scene for 15 years, Clinton remains a very polarizing figure. Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters say they would definitely vote against her if she is on the ballot in 2008.
Giuliani remains the most popular candidate in either party, viewed favorably by 63% of likely voters. However, his biggest challenge moving forward may be that he is seeking the nomination of a center-right political party and only 21% of Republicans view him as politically conservative.
Apparently in response to the bunched-up primary schedule this campaign season, Giuliani and McCain both recently announced that they would sit out the straw poll in Ames, Iowa this summer. But they report that they will still compete in the Iowa caucuses tentatively scheduled for January.
Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Also available are continuously updated ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists.
A recent tracking survey found that voters trust Democrats more than Republicans on ten key issues including taxes and national security. Democrats continue to lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot but their lead is smaller than a month ago.
Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data for the Democrats’ nominating contest are updated on Mondays. Republican results are updated every each Tuesday.
Any one of our top four would beat Hillary IMO. Hopefully she’s the Dem nominee.
So who wants McCain or Rudy?
How does she do against Duncan Hunter? :)
Yo, John Cena...you can't see me!!!
I don’t think Rasmussen is going to poll matchups with Duncan Hunter for 2 reasons. 1) He doesn’t have a chance 2) The average american has never heard of him.
Why do you say that?
Or Fred?
Because while we at FR know all about Duncan Hunter, the average joe who has not even begun thinking about next year’s election has never heard of him.
So that means what, exactly?
(so far I agree with what you said)
How does that result in the conclusion he can’t win?
Hunter’s an impressive candidate.
Look, I think Hunter would make an awesome president. And would do a lot of good for America.
But he’s got too many dis-advantages right now. Lack of name recognition, funding, and just facing too many big names. He doesn’t have the money or resources to be able to compete with the GOP’s big 4 (Giuliani, McCain, Romney, and Thompson).
Our next president is going to be one of these eight people: Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, Barrack Obama, John Edwards, or Al Gore (in the event he decided to run.)
The more Hillary is before the public, the more the public turn away. People are getting tired of her.
The number three Democrat in the polls has consistently performed better than Clinton and Obama in general election match-ups. Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards currently has a two-point advantage over Giuliani.
Hair over substance.
I think it will be Fred vs Hildabeast in the end.
Fred winning that one.
Bull. They sat out because they didn't want to finish behind Romney, Thompson (Fred), *and* quite possibly Huckabee at the event. McCain might have found himself finishing even further back. Neither of them could afford the embarrassment.
It’s simple, Cringing. You don’t do poll-matchups against someone like the beast, with huge name recog, and someone like Hunter, who is still just getting started getting his name out there. She would probably beat him in the current poll and, as you say, that would mean nothhing. So to the pollsters credit they aren’t doing that matchup right now.
Hillary isn’t going to get the nomination.
AlGore will.
Hunter doesn’t have the money base and he doesn’t have the name recognition to get the donations.
He is consistantly polling in the 1% range. I don’t see that changing.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.