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Poll: Thompson Shakes Up GOP Race (Rudy 27, McCain 19, Fred Thompson 17%)
Boston Globe ^ | 6.9.7 | Alan Fram

Posted on 06/09/2007 9:11:12 AM PDT by hardback

WASHINGTON --Fred Thompson's expected entry into the tight Republican presidential race is drawing crucial strength from conservatives and older men, vaulting him into the thick of the GOP nomination fight, an Associated Press-Ipsos poll says.

The survey shows the top Democratic contender, Hillary Rodham Clinton, with twice the support from women as her nearest rival but dwindling strength among men. Her margin over Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., has eroded slightly since the last AP-Ipsos poll in March.

Thompson, who sandwiched an acting career around eight years as a Tennessee senator, has impressed many despite not yet formally entering the 2008 race. One in four of his supporters cite his strong character, more than any other GOP candidate.

"He can be kind of Reaganesque in his engaging with people," said Ronald Coppinger, 47, a carpenter from Indianapolis, describing a plain-spoken style like the late President Reagan's.

That has helped inject Thompson firmly into the top tier among GOP contenders in the AP-Ipsos poll, released Saturday.

It shows former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani with 27 percent; Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., at 19 percent; Thompson essentially even with McCain at 17 percent; and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 10 percent.

On the Democratic side, Clinton, the New York senator, is drawing support from four in 10 women -- a block that accounted for 54 percent of the vote in 2004's key Democratic primaries. One in three of her supporters cite her experience, the most among Democrats.

"I think women relate more to the needs of people," said cashier Jadine Robinson, 52, of Magnolia, Miss.

Clinton had 33 percent in the poll; Obama 21 percent; former Vice President Al Gore, who so far is not a candidate, 20 percent; and former Sen. John Edwards, D-N.C., 12 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fredthompson; romney; rudy
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1 posted on 06/09/2007 9:11:14 AM PDT by hardback
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To: hardback

2 posted on 06/09/2007 9:12:34 AM PDT by xcamel ("It's Thompson Time!")
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To: hardback

I need to question any poll that has McCain third in that group.


3 posted on 06/09/2007 9:13:09 AM PDT by etradervic (Any Conservative in 2008)
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To: etradervic

My point being that he should not be in the top 3.


4 posted on 06/09/2007 9:13:51 AM PDT by etradervic (Any Conservative in 2008)
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To: hardback

5 posted on 06/09/2007 9:15:18 AM PDT by LFOD777 (In 2006, Washington spent $2.7 Trillion and ran a $248 billion budget deficit.)
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To: xcamel
This is even more impressive factoring in that Fred's not even going to announce until next month.

I expect him to pass McCain by July or August easily with room to spare...

6 posted on 06/09/2007 9:15:59 AM PDT by hardback
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To: hardback

7 posted on 06/09/2007 9:17:11 AM PDT by LFOD777 (In 2006, Washington spent $2.7 Trillion and ran a $248 billion budget deficit.)
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To: xcamel; JCEccles

Bah! Fred Thompson is too lazy to shake anything!

All of this is just statistical noise! None of Fred’s supporters know anything about him. Fred Thompson is a gun grabbing, flip flopping liberal from Massachusetts.

—I’m JCEccles and I approved this message.


8 posted on 06/09/2007 9:18:09 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (Fred Thompson. AKA: POTUS 44)
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To: etradervic

>> My point being that he should not be in the top 3.

What’s obvious to us web-fed political junkies may not be that obvious to the average Joe.

McVain is toast, but it’ll take a little time for the word to get around.

But it will.


9 posted on 06/09/2007 9:18:19 AM PDT by Nervous Tick
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To: LFOD777

10 posted on 06/09/2007 9:20:44 AM PDT by hardback
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
...lol... or he may even go so far to say Fred is a cross dresser from NYC.
11 posted on 06/09/2007 9:21:14 AM PDT by mnehring (Virtus Junxit Mors Non Separabit)
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To: hardback
Bad mouth Rudy all you want. I will vote for him. Yes he is an egotist. Yes he flip flops on abortion BUT he says he will appoint a strict Constitutionalist to the SCOTUS. Just Google FRED’s BS as to where he stands with Bush and the illegals. Bush’s nephew, a future Hispanic President in the Bush’s eyes, and other Bush hacks have jumped to FREDs campaign - but he hasn’t announced he says - Oh it must be popular demand (BS). FRED was in Congress when the illegals stampeded here - he did nothing, doesn’t condemn Bush’s Amnesty Bill (yes he SAYS he is against Amnesty). It goes on.
12 posted on 06/09/2007 9:30:39 AM PDT by Sam Ketcham (Amnesty vote dilution, & increased taxes to bring us down to the world poverty level.)
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To: hardback
"I think women relate more to the needs of people," said cashier Jadine Robinson, 52, of Magnolia, Miss., who clearly knows nothing about Mrs. Clinton.
13 posted on 06/09/2007 9:31:24 AM PDT by American Quilter (You can't negotiate with people who are dedicated to your destruction.)
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To: Nervous Tick
What’s obvious to us web-fed political junkies may not be that obvious to the average Joe.

I was just getting ready to post that. I think any numbers McCain is getting in these polls are from people that do NOT keep up with politics & his is the only name they've heard of - plus they know he was a POW. It will be very different in a voting booth with only people that actually participate in the process.

McCain is done.

14 posted on 06/09/2007 9:32:05 AM PDT by alicewonders (Duncan Hunter. Seriously.)
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To: Nervous Tick
McVain is toast, but it’ll take a little time for the word to get around.

I agree. His sponsorship of the amnesty bill will sink him. Major political misstep, and completely consistent with McCain's arrogant dismissal of the majority American position on illegals.

15 posted on 06/09/2007 9:34:34 AM PDT by American Quilter (You can't negotiate with people who are dedicated to your destruction.)
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To: hardback

True conservatives are starting to realize that Rudy Giuliani supports gay civil unions and has funded abortion in the past.


16 posted on 06/09/2007 9:34:58 AM PDT by importedcigar
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To: Sam Ketcham
Bad mouth Rudy all you want. I will vote for him. Yes he is an egotist. Yes he flip flops on abortion BUT he says he will appoint a strict Constitutionalist to the SCOTUS.

How do you know he won't flip flop on his pledge regarding SCOTUS appointments?

17 posted on 06/09/2007 9:35:18 AM PDT by alicewonders (Duncan Hunter. Seriously.)
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To: Politicalmom; jellybean

ping


18 posted on 06/09/2007 9:36:11 AM PDT by KoRn (Just Say NO ....To Liberal Republicans - FRED THOMPSON FOR PRESIDENT!)
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To: Sam Ketcham
My gut says to me that Thompson will get more of McCain's supporters when he backs out of the race, but it depends when/what time in the primaries and who he endorses.

It could be very close between Rudy and Fred

19 posted on 06/09/2007 9:36:52 AM PDT by hardback
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To: hardback
The AP includes AlGore in the poll to suck away support from Osama Obama and Silky Pony Edwards in order to make Rodham the leader.

NEWSFLASH: THE DEMS DO NOT WANT TO BE LIKE REPUBLICANS.

NEWSFLASH: THE DEMS WILL NOT DO WHAT THE GOP DID WITH THE BUSH 41 TO 43 SCENARIO.

NEWSFLASH: KOOK LIBS WANT A NEWBIE. THEY DO NOT WANT TO BE LIKE REPUBLICANS AND NOMINATE ANOTHER CLINTON.

20 posted on 06/09/2007 9:38:46 AM PDT by new yorker 77 (Speaker Pelosi - Three cheers for Amnesty!)
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