Posted on 05/22/2007 1:18:24 PM PDT by maquiladora
A hockey goalie has a Red Light and a Siren go off when he screws up. Why do these people get off the hook so easy?
“I think that these guys would be more accurate if they just threw a dart.’
Ever hear of the dartboard portfolio? I think Barrons runs it. And yes, throwing darts at stock listings outperforms professionally recommended portfolios regularly.
I predict drought in the east with mid summer wildfires followed by flooding when two slow moving tropical depression hammers the east coast one after another in mid sept to early oct.
The same goobers predicted the same last hurricane season - and it was one of the quietest on record... So I think you could flip a coin and be AT LEAST as accurate as the NOAA...
I think the problem is that NOAA has become advocates more than scientists.
As Rush would say, “Women, minorities and the poor affected worst.”
Yeah they might risk the boy who cried wolf problem.
Its a hard line for them to walk having to keep people aware.
I don’t know about you, but I’m not domed; I’m doomed!
Yes, I read it, and I think that “domed” will be right up there with “stuned”, don’tcha think?
The people involved in both NOAA's hurricane predictions and the well known Colorado State predictions are actually among the skeptics (sometimes strident) of increased Atlantic Hurricane activity being caused by Global Warming.
Notice there wasn't a single mention of global warming in the entire prediction.
Pretty futile battle having to point this out over and over and over again; would help if people actually studied scientific issues before opining on them.
"Normal" is based on a database a little over 100 years old. (and the people that make the predictions are well aware the database is more inaccurate the farther back in time one goes.)
In the 12 years from 1995 to 2006, total tropical activity was above average in 9 of those 12 years.
The reason why they keep predicting above average activity is because the activity keeps being above average (and usually WELL above average.)
And they're right most of the time.
Famous Outcry overheard 2 days after the levees broke in N.O.
You can bet that some puny little storms will be called hurricanes just to get the numbers up to those predicted.
I've noticed people have trouble keeping the source of various things straight.
The folks that were most frantically hyping the threat of the US being clobbered by major hurricanes in 2006, and generated a huge amount of press with ominous press releases, was the private company AccuWeather, not NOAA.
Want to buy a bridge?
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