I sent out a 2 page fax and email to relatives and people I know who follow horse racing early today, before noon.
I said I could only eliminate TWO horses in this field of 20, and they were Bwana Bull and Imawildandcrazyguy. I didn’t really even mean that, expect Bwana Bull looked impossible indeed. I KNEW in a field this large with no heavy favorite there would be lots of undeserving longshots, and more than a few overbet horses who had no real chance. I also knew that STREET SENSE was the class of this field on every level, and unless he got stuck in traffic, would win. I knew Curlin would be overbet, and figured he might finish in the back half of the pack.In fact he ran very well, and is obviously a first rate horse would will probably run very well in the Preakness. The reason I didn’t thrown out longshot Sedgefield is because I run all kinds of numbers on horses, based on Past Performances, and he had the highest number for NUMBER OF HORSES HE BEAT in his last 4 races (35), and accomplishing that from almost exclusively outside posts. Today he was on the inside, stayed there and almost hung on to make it a huge payday for me which I didn’t get, thanks to the “Steve Martin” horse, since the finish was 7-8-2-11-1, rather than 7-8-2-1.
What do you think of Street Sense? Does he have a chances of winning the Triple Crown in your opinion?