Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Ultra-computer could be hurricane forecasters' Holy Grail
startribune.com ^ | 04/03/07 | Ken Kaye, Associated Press

Posted on 04/03/2007 7:04:24 AM PDT by Ellesu

It can portray a hurricane in stunning detail. It's powered by a supercomputer that can perform 14 trillion calculations a second. And starting in June, it should help tropical meteorologists project whether a storm will arrive as a killer or a creampuff. FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — It can portray a hurricane in stunning detail. It's powered by a supercomputer that can perform 14 trillion calculations a second. And starting in June, it should help tropical meteorologists project whether a storm will arrive as a killer or a creampuff. The sophisticated new forecast model could be the Holy Grail that forecasters have long sought to sharply improve their hurricane intensity predictions and give emergency managers and residents alike more time to prepare accordingly. "This is the first time a hurricane model will have its own analysis of the center of the hurricane's structure," said Naomi Surgi of the National Weather Service, who spearheaded the model's development. "This is really pushing the frontiers of science." Although forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami-Dade County have achieved record accuracy in projecting the path of a storm, they still struggle to gauge its power. South Floridians received an unpleasant reminder of this meteorological soft spot in August when Tropical Storm Ernesto was predicted to plow ashore as a hurricane. After thousands of residents scrambled to put up shutters, the system arrived as nothing more than a squally nuisance. Enter the new model, officially called the Hurricane Weather and Research Forecast system, or "H-werf "for short.

(Excerpt) Read more at startribune.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: computer; hurricane
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041 next last

1 posted on 04/03/2007 7:04:26 AM PDT by Ellesu
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

WOW! Now they can be wrong a whole lot faster!


2 posted on 04/03/2007 7:05:15 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Enoch Powell was right.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

The ultimate computer will only be as good as it’s data input.


3 posted on 04/03/2007 7:05:48 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Peace without victory is a temporary illusion.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu
Ultra-computer could be hurricane forecasters' Holy Grail

GIGO.

4 posted on 04/03/2007 7:07:52 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu
project whether a storm will arrive as a killer or a creampuff

Killer creampuffs.....

....mmmmmmmmmm......


5 posted on 04/03/2007 7:10:00 AM PDT by Lazamataz (God: Always, In All Ways.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

I recall that the last ‘ultimate computer’ completely missed a one foot snow storm the very next day after it was put in service.


6 posted on 04/03/2007 7:10:04 AM PDT by mkmensinger
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse; LA Woman3

ping a ling


7 posted on 04/03/2007 7:10:11 AM PDT by Ellesu
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla
GIGO

LOL! WTF??! BTW, AFAIK TANSTAAFL, IMHO!

TTFN

8 posted on 04/03/2007 7:11:25 AM PDT by Lazamataz (God: Always, In All Ways.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu
“National Hurricane Center in Miami-Dade County have achieved record accuracy in projecting the path of a storm”

“Record accuracy”? They’ve broken their own record? They’ve gotten better, one would expect, but this statement suggests NHC has it “down to a science”. Hardly.

9 posted on 04/03/2007 7:13:05 AM PDT by ryan71 (You can hear it on the coconut telegraph...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

42


10 posted on 04/03/2007 7:14:06 AM PDT by Michael Barnes ($DEM_TALKING_POINT > /dev/null)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

11 posted on 04/03/2007 7:38:59 AM PDT by Malone LaVeigh
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

I predict that we will have some hurricanes this year or maybe we won’t. I am 100% accurate.


12 posted on 04/03/2007 7:39:27 AM PDT by isthisnickcool (Hey mister, can you spare a carbon credit?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

Nothing beats the Free Republic hurricane discussion crew.
Tune in this summer and see.


13 posted on 04/03/2007 7:58:52 AM PDT by mcshot ("If it ain't broke it doesn't have enough features." paraphrased anon.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Lazamataz
TANSTAAFL

???

WTH?

14 posted on 04/03/2007 8:00:22 AM PDT by TChris (The Democrat Party: A sewer into which is emptied treason, inhumanity and barbarism - O. Morton)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

Is the Karl Rove software package installed on this computer?


15 posted on 04/03/2007 8:02:59 AM PDT by bmwcyle (Freep Fox they drop the ball on GOE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

Will it tell Ray Nagin when to start the school buses rolling???


16 posted on 04/03/2007 8:11:52 AM PDT by 2nd Bn, 11th Mar (The "P" in Democrat stands for patriotism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

The story neglected to mention that after processing the first data set, the computer concluded that Al Gore is an idiot.


17 posted on 04/03/2007 8:13:38 AM PDT by July 4th (A vacant lot cancelled out my vote for Bush.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

Will it tell Ray Nagin when to start the school buses rolling???


18 posted on 04/03/2007 8:14:17 AM PDT by 2nd Bn, 11th Mar (The "P" in Democrat stands for patriotism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TChris
TANSTAAFL

???

WTH?

WAYAR?

19 posted on 04/03/2007 8:18:23 AM PDT by SlowBoat407 (ANWR would look great in pumps.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: 2nd Bn, 11th Mar

http://www.leesvilledailyleader.com/articles/2007/04/02/news/news3.txt


20 posted on 04/03/2007 8:18:34 AM PDT by Ellesu
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson