Thompson Takes Bites Out of Giuliani, Romney

NY Sun ^ | March 26, 2007 | RYAN SAGER

[Jet Jaguar]

posted 5:21 pm EDT A D V E R T I S E M E N T A D V E R T I S E M E N T

The latest USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted Friday through Sunday, on the presidential race is out, and it's a humdinger. It's hard to say what the headline even is. Here are a few tries, though:

* Romney's support drops to within the margin of error of not existing (that's 3% support in a poll where the margin of error is 3%).

* Giuliani's support drops 13 percentage points since the last USA Today/ Gallup poll, March 2-4 (that's gotta hurt).

* Fred Thompson (not running, by the way) is now the No. 3 in the GOP field, at 12%.

Read the whole story at NYSunPolitics.com.

[massadvj]

Also, here is the most important part of the article:

Fred Thompson (not running, by the way)

Your guy is NOT RUNNING. Twelve percent is no where near enough incentive to make him viable in the race. How much do you suppose Gingrich would get if he semi-announced? Way more than that. This is weakness, not strength.

[EternalVigilance]

It looks like Thompson's attempt to take all the steam out of Romney and Hunter is working well.

Guess you missed this part, huh?

Thompson Takes Bites Out of Giuliani, Romney - Giuliani's support drops 13 percentage points

[PFC]

Thompson/Rice ticket would blow everyone away and do a damn good job running this country.

[massadvj]

He dropped 13 only in this this poll. Their previous poll had him at 44. He was never that high to begin with. No other pollster has him in the 40's among Republicans. Most have him in the 30's, so this one adjusts him back. The true number right now is probably about 35-37.

As to Thompson, getting 13 after semi-announcing is actually bad news. If Gingrich had made the same sort of announcement, he'd be at 25, and looking to be at least one or two to get in. That is what Thompson needs as well, in addition to $100 million. If anything, the poll indicates Fred is not viable. I am more certain now than ever that he won't get in.

[Wild Irish Rogue]

Giuliani 31%
McCain 22%
Thompson 12%
Gingrich 8%
Brownback 3%
Romney 3%

[rockrr]

Your posts are taking on a nasty tone. Gone is the smug confidence you were displaying just a few short days ago.

What happened...someone step on your tail?

[Jet Jaguar]

Gingrich has said he will make a decision in Sept.

I would certainly welcome him in. His late announcement timetable is seen as a downfall. We will see.

Thompson or Gingrich would beat old scary hillary without any problem.

[azcap]

The one important observation in this article/poll is that the wild flucuations do not seem to affect John McCain. God knows why but there seems to be a solid 20% who will run off the cliff with him.

[jmc813]

Twelve percent is no where near enough incentive to make him viable in the race. How much do you suppose Gingrich would get if he semi-announced? Way more than that. This is weakness, not strength.

[EternalVigilance]

I think your analysis is so far off the mark that your arrow may never be found.

So, when did Thompson "semi-announce?"

[Graymatter]

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2007-03-26-poll-edwards_N.htm

snip:

"Thompson's support seems to come largely from voters who had supported Giuliani. In the USA TODAY poll taken March 2-4, Giuliani's standing had been 13 percentage points higher, at 44%. McCain's support had been 2 points lower then."

[Jet Jaguar]

I know. They must be polling AZ retirement homes pretty heavily.

I just don't see any support for him.

[traderrob6]

I'm afraid not, Newts negatives are even higher than Hillary's. Something over 46% said they would definately NOT vote for Gingrich.

[massadvj]

Your posts are taking on a nasty tone. Gone is the smug confidence you were displaying just a few short days ago.

You know, I think you are right. You guys must be wearing me down. I am starting to get down to your level. I appreciate you pointing it out. I really am going to try to be nicer.

In truth, I nothing would make me happier than to see a huge Thompson groundswell, especially among independents. I like Thompson and if he were to win the general it would be preferable to Giuliani. If he ran, that is, which he isn't; and if he could win, which he can't. So no need to insult the guy.

I hope someone will wake him up and show him these results... (oops I said I wasn;t going to do that).

[bjs1779]

God knows why but there seems to be a solid 20% who will run off the cliff with him.

Just guessing, but it could be Nam and POW issue.

[Jet Jaguar]

Thanks for the link.

Out 'til tomorrow!

[RockinRight]

Looks like Fred's taking a BIG bite out of Rudy.

If McCain would drop out, he'd get 90% of his backers too.

[RWR8189]

In order to "take the steam" out something, there has to be steam to begin with.

[massadvj]

So, when did Thompson "semi-announce?"

It was March 3rd I believe, when he said he was thinking about it. Once on Paul harvey and once on some other media outlet, I can't remember who. Two weeks of rabid excitement since, I can tell you. I haven't been this enthusiastic about a candidate since I decided to support that guy in Weekend at Bernie's.

[MayflowerMadam]

I'm tired of holding my nose when I vote. Hope Fred will jump in and be the conservative candidate we can actully support.