I think your analysis is so far off the mark that your arrow may never be found.
So, when did Thompson "semi-announce?"
It was March 3rd I believe, when he said he was thinking about it. Once on Paul harvey and once on some other media outlet, I can't remember who. Two weeks of rabid excitement since, I can tell you. I haven't been this enthusiastic about a candidate since I decided to support that guy in Weekend at Bernie's.
Hunter/Thompson - 2008!