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Blair convenes Cobra team as crisis in Iran escalates
scotsman.com ^ | 25th March 2007 | BRIAN BRADY

Posted on 03/25/2007 5:17:55 AM PDT by Dog

THE official notification, delivered in secure calls yesterday morning to senior Whitehall figures, was the latest dramatic behind-the-scenes move to get to grips with a crisis that is now engulfing the government.

After a day of shadow-boxing with a notoriously slippery regime, Tony Blair is set to up the ante: the plight of the Shatt al-Arab 15 is officially a crisis and he will need the Cobra team to handle it.

The clutch of VIPs will gather in an operations room several floors below Downing Street as early as this afternoon to plot an escape from a military spat that now threatens to become an international incident.

The decision came just 24 hours after the crew of HMS Cornwall had been caught in the confusion of direct confrontation with Iranian vessels in the searing heat of the Gulf.

As the crew members were surrounded in their two rubber dinghies, the Cornwall's commander, Commodore Nick Lambert, frantically radioed back to his own top brass for instructions.

The response to the inquiry, which had been immediately patched through to Ministry of Defence headquarters in Whitehall, was to hold fire.

The order to show restraint has been observed throughout the forces and the British government in the 48 hours since, but it is unclear how long both sides will be able to maintain control.

Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett's first response to the gathering crisis on Friday was to keep to diplomatic conventions. After a hurried phone call to Blair, she immediately summoned Iran's ambassador, Rasoul Movahedian, to her office to explain their behaviour.

After a meeting described by officials as "brisk but polite", Beckett emerged to stress that she was "extremely disturbed" by events.

It was an understated description of the deep concern now gripping the government. Not only was Blair's administration alarmed at the risk to the 15 military personnel, which included at least one woman, but it was in no doubt over Tehran's ability to use their plight to make a wider point.

During a flurry of diplomatic activity in the hours after the snatch, the Iranians' rhetoric repeatedly elevated their action, and the alleged motives of the British, to a multinational affair. It was the eve of a second UN Security Council resolution imposing sanctions over Iran's refusal to halt its programme to enrich uranium. The Shatt al-Arab 15 were, from the start, pawns in a perilous international game.

"It looks like too much of a coincidence," a senior Foreign Office insider confirmed.

The response was a no- nonsense demand for Iran to relent - and Britain freely used the international community to back up its case. Beckett dispatched the UK chargé d'affaires, Kate Smith, to confront the government in Tehran, armed with the insistence that the British sailors had been in Iraqi waters.

In the meantime, Blair made a personal call to European allies, including EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana, to secure a public denunciation of the Iranians' actions.

"It was impressed on everyone how important it was to raise the diplomatic temperature, rather than keep a low profile and let them make a song and dance of the situation," one defence official said.

"There is nothing to be gained in provoking a confrontation, because that would be playing into their hands. But neither should we let them have it all their way. We tried that before and we're still trying to get our kit back."

The smaller-scale precedent, the taking of six British marines and two sailors on the same waterway in June 2004, was a painful lesson. The personnel were only returned after they had been paraded blindfold on Iranian television and admitted entering Iranian waters illegally. Three years on, the government is still pressing Iran for the return of its boats and kit, including valuable radar equipment.

The degree of concern felt across Whitehall was demonstrated yesterday, when Movahedian was called back to the Foreign Office, this time to see Beckett's minister, Lord Triesman. The British were clearly attempting to warn off Tehran before it could begin to use the servicemen and women as a significant propaganda tool.

It was, however, a race against time - and through it all, the diplomats and the politicians were acutely aware that Tehran has built a foreign policy on disregarding diplomatic niceties.

Top level COBRA is an acronym for Cabinet Office Briefing Room A, where its meetings are held.

Tony Blair, senior ministers, police and security chiefs all take part. It is called after events such as 9/11, 7/7

and can evoke emergency powers such as suspending Parliament or restricting movement.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: blair; bombirannow; iran; iraq; lambertsfolly; uk
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To: ExSoldier

I thought the tree-cutting incident was in 1976? I remember our TI telling us in basic training that we might go to war with NK over it.


181 posted on 03/25/2007 9:05:35 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: Alas Babylon!
Not '76 for sure. It was either 1977 or 1978. I know because I was at an ROTC camp each year and I got a letter from a friend not in ROTC about the incident and reflecting on my timing re my desire to pursue an army commission.
182 posted on 03/25/2007 9:08:56 AM PDT by ExSoldier (Democracy is 2 wolves and a lamb voting on dinner. Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.)
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To: ExSoldier
My guess is that it would be impossible for a ship of war to open fire at that range with the enemy in such close proximity to friendlies without opening up...

I see this as a tactical decision to be made by the the senior officer present. Whitehall would have no insight as to what weapon systems could or could not be brought to bear in this situation.

183 posted on 03/25/2007 9:09:45 AM PDT by Doohickey (Rudolph Giuliani: metro-American)
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To: thomas16

You sound scared.


184 posted on 03/25/2007 9:10:46 AM PDT by No Blue States
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

you're correct, I just had one of those fleeting moments when I wished adults were in charge..:(


185 posted on 03/25/2007 9:11:25 AM PDT by GeorgiaDawg32 (Never argue with an idiot..they'll bring you down to their level, then beat you with experience..)
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To: Dog
I'm sure the SURRENDER PARTY firmly in power now in the US legislature strongly disapproves of the British heavy-handed diplomatic efforts in this situation. After all, the British should not have been in Iraqi or Iranian waters. They didn't giiiive peeeeace a chaaaance. /sarcasm
186 posted on 03/25/2007 9:11:38 AM PDT by CurlyBill (Democrats: Weak on defense, soft on crime, tough on your wallet)
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To: Dog

If the Iranians can hold uniformed military personnel, bearing recognizable insignia, operating under a formal command structure, carrying out a legal mission sanctioned by the United Nations, etc, as "spies;" then what's to stop Britain from detaining every and any Iranian official they can get their hands on, diplomats included, as "spies"?


187 posted on 03/25/2007 9:12:15 AM PDT by Stultis (I don't worry about the war turning into "Vietnam" in Iraq; I worry about it doing so in Congress.)
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To: Alas Babylon!
I just did a google and actually, you're correct. August 18th 1976. I wonder if there was a subsequent incident there in 1977 or 78? I seem to vaguely remember that the North Koreans later downed one of our helicopters flying along the DMZ and this was the incident which my buddy wrote of.
188 posted on 03/25/2007 9:14:00 AM PDT by ExSoldier (Democracy is 2 wolves and a lamb voting on dinner. Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.)
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To: thomas16
...this forum used to have a more intellectual conversation about 5 years ago now all we have are abunch of chest thumping, bible thumping yahoos.

thomas16
Since Aug 20, 2004

189 posted on 03/25/2007 9:16:40 AM PDT by CurlyBill (Democrats: Weak on defense, soft on crime, tough on your wallet)
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To: Dog

can you say " telegraphing your punch?"


190 posted on 03/25/2007 9:20:52 AM PDT by sure_fine ( • not one to over kill the thought processâ„)
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To: BuffaloJack
Sink their fleet.
Every last pos that floats.
If a plane is in the air, divert it to Iraq or Gitmo.

Blockade that sandpit. Air & Sea. Nothing gets in or out of Iran until they apologize for the kidnappings, release the prisioners, and distribute free heating oil to any drug free family in Harlem who needs it. UK has their own oil and coal so they should receive money for what they need most.....improved dental care.
191 posted on 03/25/2007 9:22:09 AM PDT by TET1968 (SI MINOR PLUS EST ERGO NIHIL SUNT OMNIA)
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To: spokeshave
multiple Fosterization

Ha, ha, ha! Good one.

192 posted on 03/25/2007 9:24:07 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (RATs...nothing more than Bald Haired Hippies!)
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To: thomas16
"Are you for real, you obviously want world war 3, you mustn't have children that would be eligible for draft in a few years. I just love all this chest pounding."

Hey Thomas.....does the 16 after your name indicate your age?

It sure sounds like it.

193 posted on 03/25/2007 9:30:22 AM PDT by albee (The best thing you can do for the poor is.....not be one of them. - Eric Hoffer)
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To: pleikumud

And that something would be, of course, holding hands and singing Kumbaya.


194 posted on 03/25/2007 9:33:50 AM PDT by Codename - Ron Benjamin (I'm gonna sing the doom song now. Pre-emptive, multi-tasking, interrupt control!)
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To: Dog
"There is nothing to be gained in provoking a confrontation, because that would be playing into their hands." - British defence official

Bullsh/t. Iran has indenialbly already provoked the confrontation. The West's "it would be playing into their hands" excuse not to give Iran what it has coming is getting tired. ....and not surprisingly it appears to be encouraging them.

195 posted on 03/25/2007 9:35:08 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: rollo tomasi
What should the West do if Iran calls our bluff and executes these fine sailors as a show of force?

They won't be executed, and if they were it would be war.

196 posted on 03/25/2007 9:42:28 AM PDT by Zeroisanumber (Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?)
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To: Zeroisanumber
Read post #36. Iran is testing our limits and working us no doubt.

I was using a hypothetical situation towards the moonbat I was responding to.
197 posted on 03/25/2007 9:47:41 AM PDT by rollo tomasi (Working hard to pay for deadbeats and corrupt politicians.)
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To: Dog
Commodore Nick Lambert, frantically radioed back to his own top brass for instructions.

Hard to believe the CO had no discretion ?
A Nelsonian approach might have been better "What signal" etc.

198 posted on 03/25/2007 9:51:02 AM PDT by 1066AD
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To: Pete
given a blank check by the public

You should see comments in lefty UK papers - this is all a setup by US/UK to attack Iran for OIL, "Gulf of Tonkin" etc. Unbelievable.

199 posted on 03/25/2007 9:56:40 AM PDT by 1066AD
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To: Stultis

I was thinking the same thing. There is another thread where the Iranians are threatening to hold a trial and execute the 15 British soldiers. If they do that, then the 15 Iranians that do get rounded up by Britian should be executed, too.


200 posted on 03/25/2007 9:59:26 AM PDT by TruthConquers (Delenda est publius schola)
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